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Lugo vs UD Logroñés Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1Mon, 12 Oct 2026

Lugo

1st in table · 22 pts

WWWWL

Mon, 12 Oct 202619:30

3 : 1

Full time

UD Logroñés

2nd in table · 20 pts

WWDWL

Pre-match win probability

37.6%Lugo29.1%Draw33.4%UD Logroñés

Our prediction

1X · Lugo

Lugo vs UD Logroñés listed tip from the board.

Odds1.36
Confidence37.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Lugo 37.6%
  • Draw 29.1%
  • UD Logroñés 33.4%

Season statistics

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

LugoUD Logroñés
Goals scored (avg)
1.62.1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.81.1
Wins
76
Played
910

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Lugo7W 1D 1L in last 9
  • 23 OctReal Unión4 – 1LugoL
  • 17 OctLugo3 – 0Deportivo La Coruña IIW
  • 2 OctReal Avilés1 – 2LugoW
  • 26 SeptLugo1 – 0Racing FerrolW
  • 20 SeptZamora1 – 2LugoW
  • 13 SeptLugo1 – 0CD CoriaW
  • 4 SeptPonferradina0 – 0LugoD
  • 30 AugUnionistas de Salamanca1 – 3LugoW
  • 21 AugLugo1 – 0Ourense CFW
UD Logroñés6W 2D 1L in last 9
  • 31 OctUD Logroñés0 – 1MirandesL
  • 24 OctReal Avilés1 – 3UD LogroñésW
  • 18 OctUD Logroñés1 – 1Cultural LeonesaD
  • 4 OctUD Logroñés2 – 1Deportivo La Coruña IIW
  • 27 SeptMérida AD3 – 5UD LogroñésW
  • 18 SeptUD Logroñés1 – 1PontevedraD
  • 12 SeptUD Ourense0 – 3UD LogroñésW
  • 6 SeptZamora1 – 2UD LogroñésW
  • 31 AugUD Logroñés2 – 1Extremadura 1924W
H2H
Head to headLugo 1W · 1D · UD Logroñés 0W · 3.5 goals a game
  • 21 FebLugo1 – 1UD Logroñés
  • 24 OctUD Logroñés2 – 3Lugo

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.4% · 1.052.8% · 8.5
1.5 goals18.4% · 1.286.7% · 3.5
2.5 goals12.1% · 1.9512.7% · 1.85
3.5 goals7.2% · 3.2517.7% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X51.4%
X248.6%

Match result

Lugo2.4
Draw3.1
UD Logroñés2.7

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance51.4%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance48.6%
Odds1.44

Lugo

Chance37.6%
Odds2.4

Draw

Chance29.1%
Odds3.1

UD Logroñés

Chance33.4%
Odds2.7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.36

LugoUD Logroñés
Recent form52%48%
Attack43%57%
Defence54%46%
Goals model43%57%
Head-to-head75%25%
Overall53%47%

Trends

Trend · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Lugo scored 1.6 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Lugo conceded 0.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

Trend · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Kept a clean sheet in 5 of those 9.

Lugo vs UD Logroñés: prediction & preview

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Mon, 12 Oct 2026

Lugo meet UD Logroñés in the Spain, Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on 12 October 2026 at 19:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Lugo at 2.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Lugo vs UD Logroñés FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Lugo vs UD Logroñés match?

Kickoff is 19:30 on 12 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Lugo vs UD Logroñés?

Lugo is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.