Get Premium

Lyon vs Nice Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

France · Ligue 1Sun, 18 Oct 2026

Lyon

5th in table · 14 pts

LWLLW

Sun, 18 Oct 202619:45

2 : 1

Full time

Nice

7th in table · 14 pts

LWWWW

Pre-match win probability

51%Lyon24.8%Draw24.2%Nice

Our prediction

1 · Lyon

Lyon vs Nice listed tip from the board.

Odds1.85
Confidence51%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Lyon 51%
  • Draw 24.8%
  • Nice 24.2%

Season statistics

Ligue 1 · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

LyonNice
Goals scored (avg)
1.71.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.21.1
Wins
44
Played
89

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Lyon5W 1D 3L in last 9
  • 1 NovLyon2 – 0AngersW
  • 26 OctParis Saint Germain2 – 0LyonL
  • 22 Oct1899 Hoffenheim3 – 0LyonL
  • 15 OctLyon3 – 2Crystal PalaceW
  • 9 OctLens2 – 1LyonL
  • 19 SeptLyon4 – 0RennesW
  • 16 SeptAnderlecht1 – 2LyonW
  • 12 SeptParis FC0 – 0LyonD
  • 4 SeptLyon3 – 1AuxerreW
Nice4W 3D 2L in last 9
  • 30 OctNice5 – 2RennesW
  • 23 OctStade Brestois 291 – 2NiceW
  • 11 OctNice2 – 1StrasbourgW
  • 20 SeptNice2 – 1LilleW
  • 12 SeptAuxerre1 – 0NiceL
  • 5 SeptNice1 – 1Le MansD
  • 30 AugParis FC3 – 0NiceL
  • 22 AugNice0 – 0LorientD
  • 15 AugHull City0 – 0NiceD
H2H
Head to headLyon 5W · 2D · Nice 2W · 2.6 goals a game
  • 15 FebLyon2 – 0Nice
  • 18 OctNice3 – 2Lyon
  • 9 MarNice0 – 2Lyon
  • 1 DecLyon4 – 1Nice
  • 16 FebLyon1 – 0Nice
  • 27 AugNice0 – 0Lyon
  • 3 JunNice3 – 1Lyon
  • 11 NovLyon1 – 1Nice
  • 12 FebLyon2 – 0Nice

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.5% · 1.225.5% · 4.33
2.5 goals14.3% · 1.6710.8% · 2.2
3.5 goals8.7% · 2.7516.5% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes57.6%
No42.4%

Double chance

1X60.4%
X239.6%

Match result

Lyon1.85
Draw3.8
Nice3.9

Both teams to score

Yes57.6% · 1.62
No42.4% · 2.2

1X

Chance60.4%
Odds1.25

X2

Chance39.6%
Odds1.91

Lyon

Chance51%
Odds1.85

Draw

Chance24.8%
Odds3.8

Nice

Chance24.2%
Odds3.9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1 at 1.85

LyonNice
Recent form52%48%
Attack57%43%
Defence49%51%
Goals model57%43%
Head-to-head67%33%
Overall68%32%

Trends

Trend · Ligue 1

Lyon scored 1.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Ligue 1

Lyon conceded 1.2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Ligue 1

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · Ligue 1

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Lyon vs Nice: prediction & preview

France · Ligue 1 · Sun, 18 Oct 2026

Lyon meet Nice in the France, Ligue 1 on 18 October 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Lyon at 1.85. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 51% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.67, about 56.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Lyon vs Nice FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Lyon vs Nice match?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 18 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Lyon vs Nice?

Lyon is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.85. The margin-adjusted share is about 51%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.67 and under 2.5 is 2.2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.