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Madagascar vs Guinea-Bissau Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationThu, 12 Nov 2026

Madagascar

4th in table · 1 pts

WDLLD

Thu, 12 Nov 202617:00

vs

Not started

Guinea-Bissau

1st in table · 6 pts

LLDWW

Pre-match win probability

29.6%Madagascar31.7%Draw38.6%Guinea-Bissau

Our prediction

2 · Madagascar

Madagascar vs Guinea-Bissau listed tip from the board.

Odds2.30
Confidence43.5%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Madagascar 29.6%
  • Draw 31.7%
  • Guinea-Bissau 38.6%

Season statistics

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

MadagascarGuinea-Bissau
Goals scored (avg)
1.80.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.81.2
Wins
02
Played
22

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Madagascar4W 2D 3L in last 9
  • 29 SeptMadagascar1 – 1TanzaniaD
  • 25 SeptNigeria2 – 1MadagascarL
  • 2 JunMorocco4 – 0MadagascarL
  • 31 MarEquatorial Guinea1 – 1MadagascarD
  • 28 MarKyrgyzstan2 – 5MadagascarW
  • 17 NovMadagascar2 – 0Equatorial GuineaW
  • 12 OctMali4 – 1MadagascarL
  • 8 OctComoros1 – 2MadagascarW
  • 8 SeptMadagascar3 – 1ChadW
Guinea-Bissau3W 2D 5L in last 10
  • 29 SeptGuinea-Bissau3 – 0NigeriaW
  • 25 SeptTanzania0 – 2Guinea-BissauW
  • 31 MarBurkina Faso1 – 1Guinea-BissauD
  • 28 MarBurkina Faso5 – 0Guinea-BissauL
  • 12 OctEgypt1 – 0Guinea-BissauL
  • 8 OctEthiopia1 – 0Guinea-BissauL
  • 8 SeptGuinea-Bissau2 – 0DjiboutiW
  • 4 SeptGuinea-Bissau1 – 1Sierra LeoneD
  • 9 JunGabon2 – 0Guinea-BissauL
  • 6 JunBurundi1 – 0Guinea-BissauL
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.7% · 1.083.3% · 7
1.5 goals16.3% · 1.448.9% · 2.62
2.5 goals10% · 2.3514.9% · 1.57
3.5 goals5.4% · 4.3319.5% · 1.2

Both teams to score

Yes47.3%
No52.7%

Double chance

1X30.7%
1234.5%
X234.8%

Match result

Madagascar3
Draw2.8
Guinea-Bissau2.3

Both teams to score

Yes47.3% · 1.95
No52.7% · 1.75

1X

Chance30.7%
Odds1.53

12

Chance34.5%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance34.8%
Odds1.35

Madagascar

Chance29.6%
Odds3

Draw

Chance31.7%
Odds2.8

Guinea-Bissau

Chance38.6%
Odds2.3

First half result

Madagascar23.7% · 3.8
Draw45% · 2
Guinea-Bissau31.3% · 2.88

Half goals

1st over 0.5100% · 1.44

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 2 at 2.30

MadagascarGuinea-Bissau
Recent form56%44%
Attack67%33%
Defence40%60%
Goals model67%33%
Overall43%57%

Trends

Trend · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Madagascar scored 1.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Madagascar conceded 1.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

Trend · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

Madagascar vs Guinea-Bissau: prediction & preview

World · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Thu, 12 Nov 2026

Madagascar meet Guinea-Bissau in the World, Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on 12 November 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Guinea-Bissau at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 38.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Madagascar vs Guinea-Bissau FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Madagascar vs Guinea-Bissau match?

Kickoff is 17:00 on 12 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Madagascar vs Guinea-Bissau?

Guinea-Bissau is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 38.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.35 and under 2.5 is 1.57.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.