Get Premium

Manchester United vs Aston Villa Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Manchester United

17th in table · 7 pts

DLLLW

Sun, 8 Nov 202617:30

vs

Not started

Aston Villa

10th in table · 12 pts

WWLDL

Pre-match win probability

43.2%Manchester United25.8%Draw31%Aston Villa

Our prediction

Manchester United

Manchester United is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.15
Confidence43.2%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Manchester United 43.2%
  • Draw 25.8%
  • Aston Villa 31%

Season statistics

Premier League · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Manchester UnitedAston Villa
Goals scored (avg)
0.92.1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
21.4
Wins
13
Played
99

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Manchester United1W 3D 6L in last 10
  • 3 NovManchester United3 – 2AS RomaW
  • 31 OctChelsea2 – 0Manchester UnitedL
  • 25 OctManchester United0 – 3BournemouthL
  • 21 OctComo4 – 1Manchester UnitedL
  • 18 OctLeeds1 – 1Manchester UnitedD
  • 13 OctAtletico Madrid2 – 0Manchester UnitedL
  • 10 OctManchester United1 – 1TottenhamD
  • 20 SeptFulham1 – 1Manchester UnitedD
  • 16 SeptManchester United2 – 3BrightonL
  • 13 SeptManchester United0 – 1Manchester CityL
Aston Villa6W 2D 2L in last 10
  • 3 NovBarcelona3 – 0Aston VillaL
  • 31 OctAston Villa1 – 1FulhamD
  • 28 OctBournemouth3 – 0Aston VillaL
  • 24 OctAston Villa2 – 1Manchester CityW
  • 21 OctAston Villa3 – 1VikingW
  • 17 OctNewcastle0 – 1Aston VillaW
  • 14 OctAston Villa6 – 0FenerbahçeW
  • 10 OctAston Villa2 – 2BrentfordD
  • 2 OctSevilla1 – 3Aston VillaW
  • 19 SeptTottenham2 – 3Aston VillaW
H2H
Head to headManchester United 6W · 2D · Aston Villa 2W · 3.2 goals a game
  • 15 MarManchester United3 – 1Aston Villa
  • 21 DecAston Villa2 – 1Manchester United
  • 25 MayManchester United2 – 0Aston Villa
  • 6 OctAston Villa0 – 0Manchester United
  • 11 FebAston Villa1 – 2Manchester United
  • 26 DecManchester United3 – 2Aston Villa
  • 30 AprManchester United1 – 0Aston Villa
  • 10 NovManchester United4 – 2Aston Villa
  • 6 NovAston Villa3 – 1Manchester United
  • 23 JulManchester United2 – 2Aston Villa

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals20.3% · 1.174.8% · 5
2.5 goals15.1% · 1.5710% · 2.38
3.5 goals10% · 2.3815.1% · 1.57

Both teams to score

Yes62%
No38%

Double chance

1X33.7%
1237.7%
X228.6%

Match result

Manchester United2.15
Draw3.6
Aston Villa3

Both teams to score

Yes62% · 1.5
No38% · 2.45

1X

Chance33.7%
Odds1.4

12

Chance37.7%
Odds1.25

X2

Chance28.6%
Odds1.65

Manchester United

Chance43.2%
Odds2.15

Draw

Chance25.8%
Odds3.6

Aston Villa

Chance31%
Odds3

First half result

Manchester United34.8% · 2.6
Draw37.7% · 2.4
Aston Villa27.4% · 3.3

Half goals

1st over 0.5100% · 1.25

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Manchester United at 2.15

Manchester UnitedAston Villa
Recent form23%77%
Attack30%70%
Defence38%62%
Goals model30%70%
Head-to-head70%30%
Overall58%42%

Trends

Trend · Premier League

Manchester United scored 0.9 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Premier League

Manchester United conceded 2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Premier League

Failed to score in 4 of those 10.

Trend · Premier League

Over 2.5 goals in 4 of those 10.

Manchester United vs Aston Villa: prediction & preview

England · Premier League · Sun, 8 Nov 2026

Manchester United meet Aston Villa in the England, Premier League on 8 November 2026 at 17:30 (Africa/Lagos). The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Manchester United at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.57, about 60.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Manchester United vs Aston Villa FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Manchester United vs Aston Villa match?

Kickoff is 17:30 on 8 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Manchester United vs Aston Villa?

Manchester United is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.57 and under 2.5 is 2.38.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.