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Marseille vs Paris FC Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

France · Ligue 1Sun, 6 Sept 2026

Marseille

9th in table · 12 pts

WLWLW

Sun, 6 Sept 202619:45

2 : 3

Full time

Paris FC

6th in table · 14 pts

DWLWL

Pre-match win probability

50.8%Marseille25.1%Draw24.1%Paris FC

Our prediction

1X · Marseille

Marseille vs Paris FC listed tip from the board.

Odds1.25
Confidence50.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Marseille 50.8%
  • Draw 25.1%
  • Paris FC 24.1%

Season statistics

Ligue 1 · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

MarseilleParis FC
Goals scored (avg)
1.41.5
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.81.3
Wins
44
Played
88

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Marseille3W 0D 6L in last 9
  • 25 OctMarseille4 – 3Le HavreW
  • 22 OctSturm Graz1 – 0MarseilleL
  • 18 OctAngers2 – 5MarseilleW
  • 15 OctMarseille0 – 1Olympiakos PiraeusL
  • 11 OctEstac Troyes0 – 2MarseilleW
  • 20 SeptMarseille1 – 2Paris Saint GermainL
  • 17 SeptBeşiktaş4 – 1MarseilleL
  • 11 SeptRennes1 – 0MarseilleL
  • 30 AugMonaco2 – 0MarseilleL
Paris FC3W 2D 3L in last 8
  • 24 OctLens2 – 1Paris FCL
  • 18 OctParis FC4 – 3RennesW
  • 10 OctLorient1 – 0Paris FCL
  • 19 SeptParis FC2 – 1StrasbourgW
  • 12 SeptParis FC0 – 0LyonD
  • 30 AugParis FC3 – 0NiceW
  • 22 AugEstac Troyes0 – 0Paris FCD
  • 15 AugAngers3 – 2Paris FCL
H2H
Head to headMarseille 1W · 1D · Paris FC 0W · 5.5 goals a game
  • 31 JanParis FC2 – 2Marseille
  • 23 AugMarseille5 – 2Paris FC

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.5% · 1.225.5% · 4.33
2.5 goals13.8% · 1.7311.3% · 2.1
3.5 goals8.7% · 2.7516.5% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X60.4%
X239.6%

Match result

Marseille1.85
Draw3.75
Paris FC3.9

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance60.4%
Odds1.25

X2

Chance39.6%
Odds1.91

Marseille

Chance50.8%
Odds1.85

Draw

Chance25.1%
Odds3.75

Paris FC

Chance24.1%
Odds3.9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.25

MarseilleParis FC
Recent form45%55%
Attack48%52%
Defence41%59%
Goals model48%52%
Head-to-head75%25%
Overall68%32%

Trends

Trend · Ligue 1

Marseille scored 1.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Ligue 1

Marseille conceded 1.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Ligue 1

Failed to score in 4 of those 9.

Trend · Ligue 1

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

Marseille vs Paris FC: prediction & preview

France · Ligue 1 · Sun, 6 Sept 2026

Marseille meet Paris FC in the France, Ligue 1 on 6 September 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Marseille at 1.85. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 50.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.73, about 54.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Marseille vs Paris FC FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Marseille vs Paris FC match?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 6 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Marseille vs Paris FC?

Marseille is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.85. The margin-adjusted share is about 50.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.73 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.