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Marseille vs Strasbourg Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

France · Ligue 1Fri, 21 Aug 2026

Marseille

9th in table · 12 pts

WLWLW

Fri, 21 Aug 202619:45

4 : 0

Full time

Strasbourg

12th in table · 10 pts

LLLLW

Pre-match win probability

55.8%Marseille23.1%Draw21.1%Strasbourg

Our prediction

1 · Marseille

Marseille vs Strasbourg listed tip from the board.

Odds1.7
Confidence55.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Marseille 55.8%
  • Draw 23.1%
  • Strasbourg 21.1%

Season statistics

Ligue 1 · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

MarseilleStrasbourg
Goals scored (avg)
1.52
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.91.8
Wins
43
Played
89

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Marseille3W 0D 7L in last 10
  • 25 OctMarseille4 – 3Le HavreW
  • 22 OctSturm Graz1 – 0MarseilleL
  • 18 OctAngers2 – 5MarseilleW
  • 15 OctMarseille0 – 1Olympiakos PiraeusL
  • 11 OctEstac Troyes0 – 2MarseilleW
  • 20 SeptMarseille1 – 2Paris Saint GermainL
  • 17 SeptBeşiktaş4 – 1MarseilleL
  • 11 SeptRennes1 – 0MarseilleL
  • 6 SeptMarseille2 – 3Paris FCL
  • 30 AugMonaco2 – 0MarseilleL
Strasbourg3W 2D 4L in last 9
  • 1 NovStrasbourg5 – 1AuxerreW
  • 25 OctRennes3 – 0StrasbourgL
  • 17 OctStrasbourg1 – 3Paris Saint GermainL
  • 11 OctNice2 – 1StrasbourgL
  • 19 SeptParis FC2 – 1StrasbourgL
  • 12 SeptStrasbourg1 – 1MonacoD
  • 6 SeptEstac Troyes2 – 6StrasbourgW
  • 29 AugStrasbourg2 – 1LensW
  • 16 AugNewcastle1 – 1StrasbourgD
H2H
Head to headMarseille 2W · 6D · Strasbourg 1W · 2.9 goals a game
  • 14 FebMarseille2 – 2Strasbourg
  • 26 SeptStrasbourg1 – 2Marseille
  • 19 JanMarseille1 – 1Strasbourg
  • 29 SeptStrasbourg1 – 0Marseille
  • 12 JanMarseille1 – 1Strasbourg
  • 25 NovStrasbourg1 – 1Marseille
  • 12 MarMarseille2 – 2Strasbourg
  • 29 OctStrasbourg2 – 2Marseille
  • 21 MayMarseille4 – 0Strasbourg

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.3% · 1.021.4% · 17
1.5 goals20.3% · 1.174.8% · 5
2.5 goals15.2% · 1.5710% · 2.38
3.5 goals10.3% · 2.314.7% · 1.62

Both teams to score

Yes60.9%
No39.1%

Double chance

1X63.1%
X236.9%

Match result

Marseille1.7
Draw4.1
Strasbourg4.5

Both teams to score

Yes60.9% · 1.53
No39.1% · 2.38

1X

Chance63.1%
Odds1.2

X2

Chance36.9%
Odds2.05

Marseille

Chance55.8%
Odds1.7

Draw

Chance23.1%
Odds4.1

Strasbourg

Chance21.1%
Odds4.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1 at 1.7

MarseilleStrasbourg
Recent form45%55%
Attack43%57%
Defence48%52%
Goals model43%57%
Head-to-head56%44%
Overall73%27%

Trends

Trend · Ligue 1

Marseille scored 1.5 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Ligue 1

Marseille conceded 1.9 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Ligue 1

Failed to score in 4 of those 10.

Trend · Ligue 1

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 10.

Marseille vs Strasbourg: prediction & preview

France · Ligue 1 · Fri, 21 Aug 2026

Marseille meet Strasbourg in the France, Ligue 1 on 21 August 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Marseille at 1.7. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 55.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.57, about 60.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.53.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Marseille vs Strasbourg FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Marseille vs Strasbourg match?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 21 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Marseille vs Strasbourg?

Marseille is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.7. The margin-adjusted share is about 55.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.57 and under 2.5 is 2.38.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.53. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.