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Marseille vs Toulouse Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

France · Ligue 1Sun, 1 Nov 2026

Marseille

WLWLW

Sun, 1 Nov 202620:45

vs

Not started

Toulouse

WLDWD

Pre-match win probability

49.6%Marseille24.2%Draw26.2%Toulouse

Our prediction

Over 0.5 · Marseille

Marseille vs Toulouse listed tip from the board.

Odds1.25
Confidence80%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Marseille 49.6%
  • Draw 24.2%
  • Toulouse 26.2%

Season statistics

Ligue 1 · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

MarseilleToulouse
Goals scored (avg)
1.51.5
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.91.6

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Marseille3W 0D 7L in last 10
  • 25 OctMarseille4 – 3Le HavreW
  • 22 OctSturm Graz1 – 0MarseilleL
  • 18 OctAngers2 – 5MarseilleW
  • 15 OctMarseille0 – 1Olympiakos PiraeusL
  • 11 OctEstac Troyes0 – 2MarseilleW
  • 20 SeptMarseille1 – 2Paris Saint GermainL
  • 17 SeptBeşiktaş4 – 1MarseilleL
  • 11 SeptRennes1 – 0MarseilleL
  • 6 SeptMarseille2 – 3Paris FCL
  • 30 AugMonaco2 – 0MarseilleL
Toulouse2W 4D 4L in last 10
  • 25 OctToulouse0 – 0Estac TroyesD
  • 16 OctLe Mans0 – 3ToulouseW
  • 10 OctMonaco2 – 2ToulouseD
  • 3 OctToulouse2 – 3PAUL
  • 19 SeptToulouse3 – 2Le HavreW
  • 12 SeptLorient2 – 2ToulouseD
  • 3 SeptToulouse0 – 1LilleL
  • 29 AugStade Brestois 292 – 2ToulouseD
  • 22 AugToulouse0 – 2LyonL
  • 15 AugToulouse1 – 2Hamburger SVL
H2H
Head to headMarseille 6W · 4D · Toulouse 0W · 3.5 goals a game
  • 7 MarToulouse0 – 1Marseille
  • 4 MarMarseille2 – 2Toulouse
  • 29 NovMarseille2 – 2Toulouse
  • 6 AprMarseille3 – 2Toulouse
  • 31 AugToulouse1 – 3Marseille
  • 21 AprToulouse2 – 2Marseille
  • 17 SeptMarseille0 – 0Toulouse
  • 19 FebToulouse2 – 3Marseille
  • 29 DecMarseille6 – 1Toulouse
  • 8 FebMarseille1 – 0Toulouse

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.4% · 1.021.3% · 19
1.5 goals20.4% · 1.174.8% · 5
2.5 goals15.6% · 1.539.5% · 2.5
3.5 goals10.4% · 2.314.7% · 1.62

Both teams to score

Yes60.8%
No39.2%

Double chance

1X37.7%
1237.7%
X224.7%

Match result

Marseille1.85
Draw3.8
Toulouse3.5

Both teams to score

Yes60.8% · 1.55
No39.2% · 2.4

1X

Chance37.7%
Odds1.25

12

Chance37.7%
Odds1.25

X2

Chance24.7%
Odds1.91

Marseille

Chance49.6%
Odds1.85

Draw

Chance24.2%
Odds3.8

Toulouse

Chance26.2%
Odds3.5

First half result

Marseille39.2% · 2.3
Draw36.8% · 2.45
Toulouse24% · 3.75

Half goals

1st over 0.5100% · 1.25

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 0.5 at 1.25

MarseilleToulouse
Recent form47%53%
Attack50%50%
Defence44%56%
Goals model50%50%
Head-to-head80%20%
Overall65%35%

Trends

Trend · Ligue 1

Marseille scored 1.5 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Ligue 1

Marseille conceded 1.9 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Ligue 1

Failed to score in 4 of those 10.

Trend · Ligue 1

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 10.

Marseille vs Toulouse: prediction & preview

France · Ligue 1 · Sun, 1 Nov 2026

Marseille meet Toulouse in the France, Ligue 1 on 1 November 2026 at 20:45 (Africa/Lagos). The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Marseille at 1.85. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 49.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.53, about 62% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.55.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Marseille vs Toulouse FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Marseille vs Toulouse match?

Kickoff is 20:45 on 1 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Marseille vs Toulouse?

Marseille is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.85. The margin-adjusted share is about 49.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.53 and under 2.5 is 2.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.55. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.