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Mercedes vs Leones de Rosario Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Argentina · Primera CSat, 17 Oct 2026

Mercedes

5th in table · 47 pts

WWDWL

Sat, 17 Oct 202620:30

2 : 1

Full time

Leones de Rosario

DLWWW

Pre-match win probability

26.3%Mercedes33.1%Draw40.6%Leones de Rosario

Our prediction

1X · Mercedes

Mercedes vs Leones de Rosario listed tip from the board.

Odds1.55
Confidence40.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Mercedes 26.3%
  • Draw 33.1%
  • Leones de Rosario 40.6%

Season statistics

Primera C · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

MercedesLeones de Rosario
Goals scored (avg)
0.91.1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.10.4
Wins
12–
Played
32–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Mercedes4W 2D 3L in last 9
  • 26 OctLeones de Rosario1 – 0MercedesL
  • 12 OctMercedes1 – 0LuganoW
  • 5 OctDeportivo Paraguayo1 – 1MercedesD
  • 25 SeptMercedes1 – 0Puerto NuevoW
  • 20 SeptLeandro N. Alem0 – 1MercedesW
  • 10 SeptMercedes1 – 1Deportivo EspañolD
  • 4 SeptMercedes0 – 3Defensores de CambaceresL
  • 30 AugJuventud Unida4 – 1MercedesL
  • 22 AugMercedes2 – 0SacachispasW
Leones de Rosario6W 2D 1L in last 9
  • 26 OctLeones de Rosario1 – 0MercedesW
  • 12 OctLeones de Rosario2 – 1FénixW
  • 5 OctSportivo Barracas0 – 2Leones de RosarioW
  • 28 SeptLeones de Rosario0 – 1LujanL
  • 20 SeptGeneral Lamadrid1 – 1Leones de RosarioD
  • 12 SeptLugano0 – 0Leones de RosarioD
  • 4 SeptYupanqui0 – 1Leones de RosarioW
  • 31 AugLeones de Rosario1 – 0Atletico AtlasW
  • 25 AugLeones de Rosario2 – 1Deportivo MuñizW
H2H
Head to headMercedes 0W · 0D · Leones de Rosario 1W · 1 goals a game
  • 26 OctLeones de Rosario1 – 0Mercedes

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21% · 1.113.9% · 6
1.5 goals15.2% · 1.539.8% · 2.38
2.5 goals8.9% · 2.6216.2% · 1.44
3.5 goals4.7% · 520.4% · 1.14

Both teams to score

Yes41.1%
No58.9%

Double chance

1X44.6%
X255.4%

Match result

Mercedes3.4
Draw2.7
Leones de Rosario2.2

Both teams to score

Yes41.1% · 2.25
No58.9% · 1.57

1X

Chance44.6%
Odds1.55

X2

Chance55.4%
Odds1.25

Mercedes

Chance26.3%
Odds3.4

Draw

Chance33.1%
Odds2.7

Leones de Rosario

Chance40.6%
Odds2.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.55

MercedesLeones de Rosario
Recent form41%59%
Attack45%55%
Defence42%58%
Goals model45%55%
Head-to-head0%100%
Overall39%61%

Trends

Trend · Primera C

Mercedes scored 0.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primera C

Mercedes conceded 1.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primera C

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Primera C

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 9.

Mercedes vs Leones de Rosario: prediction & preview

Argentina · Primera C · Sat, 17 Oct 2026

Mercedes meet Leones de Rosario in the Argentina, Primera C on 17 October 2026 at 20:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Leones de Rosario at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.44, about 64.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Mercedes vs Leones de Rosario FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Mercedes vs Leones de Rosario match?

Kickoff is 20:30 on 17 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Mercedes vs Leones de Rosario?

Leones de Rosario is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.62 and under 2.5 is 1.44.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.25. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Mercedes vs Leones de Rosario prediction, H2H and stats