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Mérida AD vs Mirandes Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1Sat, 12 Sept 2026

Mérida AD

11th in table · 13 pts

LWWLL

Sat, 12 Sept 202620:00

3 : 4

Full time

Mirandes

3rd in table · 17 pts

DLWDW

Pre-match win probability

30.7%Mérida AD28.8%Draw40.5%Mirandes

Our prediction

1X · Mérida AD

Mérida AD vs Mirandes listed tip from the board.

Odds1.55
Confidence40.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Mérida AD 30.7%
  • Draw 28.8%
  • Mirandes 40.5%

Season statistics

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · highlighted side is stronger

Mérida ADMirandes
Goals scored (avg)
–1.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–1
Wins
45
Played
910

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Mérida AD0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Mirandes4W 3D 2L in last 9
    • 31 OctUD Logroñés0 – 1MirandesW
    • 27 OctAtlético Tordesillas3 – 3MirandesD
    • 24 OctMirandes2 – 0Racing FerrolW
    • 17 OctBarakaldo2 – 0MirandesL
    • 10 OctMirandes1 – 1ZamoraD
    • 4 OctPonferradina1 – 0MirandesL
    • 27 SeptMirandes1 – 0Unionistas de SalamancaW
    • 19 SeptReal Unión2 – 2MirandesD
    • 5 SeptMirandes2 – 0UD OurenseW
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals21.9% · 1.073.1% · 7.5
    1.5 goals17.2% · 1.367.8% · 3
    2.5 goals10.9% · 2.1514% · 1.67
    3.5 goals6.2% · 3.7518.7% · 1.25

    Both teams to score

    Yes48.5%
    No51.5%

    Double chance

    1X45.6%
    X254.4%

    Match result

    Mérida AD2.9
    Draw3.1
    Mirandes2.2

    Both teams to score

    Yes48.5% · 1.91
    No51.5% · 1.8

    1X

    Chance45.6%
    Odds1.55

    X2

    Chance54.4%
    Odds1.3

    Mérida AD

    Chance30.7%
    Odds2.9

    Draw

    Chance28.8%
    Odds3.1

    Mirandes

    Chance40.5%
    Odds2.2

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: 1X at 1.55

    Mérida ADMirandes
    Recent form6%94%
    Attack43%57%
    Defence33%67%
    Goals model43%57%
    Overall43%57%

    Trends

    Trend · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

    Mirandes scored 1.3 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

    Mirandes conceded 1 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

    Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

    Trend · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

    Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 9.

    Mérida AD vs Mirandes: prediction & preview

    Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Sat, 12 Sept 2026

    Mérida AD meet Mirandes in the Spain, Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on 12 September 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–4.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Mirandes at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Mérida AD vs Mirandes FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is the Mérida AD vs Mirandes match?

    Kickoff is 20:00 on 12 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    What are the safest picks for Mérida AD vs Mirandes?

    Mirandes is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.5%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.15 and under 2.5 is 1.67.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.