Get Premium

Mérida AD vs UD Logroñés Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1Sun, 27 Sept 2026

Mérida AD

11th in table · 13 pts

WWWDL

Sun, 27 Sept 202617:15

3 : 5

Full time

UD Logroñés

2nd in table · 20 pts

WLDWL

Pre-match win probability

37.5%Mérida AD28.1%Draw34.4%UD Logroñés

Our prediction

Mérida AD

Mérida AD is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.4
Confidence37.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Mérida AD 37.5%
  • Draw 28.1%
  • UD Logroñés 34.4%

Season statistics

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Mérida ADUD Logroñés
Goals scored (avg)
1.41.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
11.1
Wins
46
Played
910

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Mérida AD4W 1D 4L in last 9
  • 1 NovLugo2 – 1Mérida ADL
  • 25 OctMérida AD0 – 0CD CoriaD
  • 18 OctArenas Getxo0 – 4Mérida ADW
  • 11 OctPontevedra1 – 2Mérida ADW
  • 4 OctMérida AD2 – 0CacereñoW
  • 19 SeptPonferradina1 – 0Mérida ADL
  • 12 SeptMérida AD3 – 4MirandesL
  • 6 SeptCultural Leonesa1 – 0Mérida ADL
  • 29 AugMérida AD1 – 0Deportivo La Coruña IIW
UD Logroñés5W 2D 2L in last 9
  • 31 OctUD Logroñés0 – 1MirandesL
  • 24 OctReal Avilés1 – 3UD LogroñésW
  • 18 OctUD Logroñés1 – 1Cultural LeonesaD
  • 12 OctLugo3 – 1UD LogroñésL
  • 4 OctUD Logroñés2 – 1Deportivo La Coruña IIW
  • 18 SeptUD Logroñés1 – 1PontevedraD
  • 12 SeptUD Ourense0 – 3UD LogroñésW
  • 6 SeptZamora1 – 2UD LogroñésW
  • 31 AugUD Logroñés2 – 1Extremadura 1924W
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.042.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.7% · 1.337.2% · 3.25
2.5 goals11.5% · 2.0513.4% · 1.75
3.5 goals6.7% · 3.518.3% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X50.7%
X249.3%

Match result

Mérida AD2.4
Draw3.2
UD Logroñés2.62

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance50.7%
Odds1.4

X2

Chance49.3%
Odds1.44

Mérida AD

Chance37.5%
Odds2.4

Draw

Chance28.1%
Odds3.2

UD Logroñés

Chance34.4%
Odds2.62

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Mérida AD at 2.4

Mérida ADUD Logroñés
Recent form43%57%
Attack45%55%
Defence51%49%
Goals model45%55%
Overall52%48%

Trends

Trend · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Mérida AD scored 1.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Mérida AD conceded 1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 9.

Mérida AD vs UD Logroñés: prediction & preview

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Sun, 27 Sept 2026

Mérida AD meet UD Logroñés in the Spain, Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on 27 September 2026 at 17:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–5.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Mérida AD at 2.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Mérida AD vs UD Logroñés FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Mérida AD vs UD Logroñés match?

Kickoff is 17:15 on 27 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Mérida AD vs UD Logroñés?

Mérida AD is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.05 and under 2.5 is 1.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.