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Mexico vs Chile Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · FriendliesWed, 7 Oct 2026

Mexico

WLDDL

Wed, 7 Oct 202603:30

0 : 2

Full time

Chile

LLWLL

Pre-match win probability

60.3%Mexico24.9%Draw14.8%Chile

Our prediction

Mexico

Mexico is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.53
Confidence60.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Mexico 60.3%
  • Draw 24.9%
  • Chile 14.8%

Season statistics

Friendlies · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

MexicoChile
Goals scored (avg)
1.91.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
11.9

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Mexico5W 2D 2L in last 9
  • 4 OctUSA3 – 0MexicoL
  • 30 SeptMexico1 – 1PeruD
  • 27 SeptMexico1 – 1ColombiaD
  • 6 JulMexico2 – 3EnglandL
  • 1 JulMexico2 – 0EcuadorW
  • 25 JunCzechia0 – 3MexicoW
  • 19 JunMexico1 – 0South KoreaW
  • 11 JunMexico2 – 0South AfricaW
  • 5 JunMexico5 – 1SerbiaW
Chile4W 0D 4L in last 8
  • 30 SeptUSA4 – 2ChileL
  • 27 SeptCanada1 – 0ChileL
  • 9 JunCongo DR1 – 2ChileW
  • 6 JunPortugal2 – 1ChileL
  • 30 MarNew Zealand4 – 1ChileL
  • 27 MarChile4 – 2Cape Verde IslandsW
  • 18 NovChile2 – 1PeruW
  • 15 NovRussia0 – 2ChileW
H2H
Head to headMexico 1W · 2D · Chile 2W · 4.4 goals a game
  • 9 DecMexico2 – 2Chile
  • 23 MarMexico3 – 1Chile
  • 17 OctMexico0 – 1Chile
  • 19 JunMexico0 – 7Chile
  • 16 JunChile3 – 3Mexico

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals18.5% · 1.286.8% · 3.5
2.5 goals12.5% · 1.912.5% · 1.9
3.5 goals7.3% · 3.2517.8% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes48.5%
No51.5%

Double chance

1X66.9%
X233.1%

Match result

Mexico1.53
Draw3.7
Chile6.25

Both teams to score

Yes48.5% · 1.91
No51.5% · 1.8

1X

Chance66.9%
Odds1.14

X2

Chance33.1%
Odds2.3

Mexico

Chance60.3%
Odds1.53

Draw

Chance24.9%
Odds3.7

Chile

Chance14.8%
Odds6.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Mexico at 1.53

MexicoChile
Recent form59%41%
Attack51%49%
Defence65%35%
Goals model51%49%
Head-to-head40%60%
Overall80%20%

Trends

Trend · Friendlies

Mexico scored 1.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Friendlies

Mexico conceded 1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Friendlies

Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

Trend · Friendlies

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 9.

Mexico vs Chile: prediction & preview

World · Friendlies · Wed, 7 Oct 2026

Mexico meet Chile in the World, Friendlies on 7 October 2026 at 03:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Mexico at 1.53. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 60.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.9, about 50% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Mexico vs Chile FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Mexico vs Chile match?

Kickoff is 03:30 on 7 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Mexico vs Chile?

Mexico is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.53. The margin-adjusted share is about 60.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.9 and under 2.5 is 1.9.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.