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Millwall vs Newcastle Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · League CupTue, 8 Sept 2026

Millwall

WLDLW

Tue, 8 Sept 202620:00

0 : 1

Full time

Newcastle

WLLWL

Pre-match win probability

14.9%Millwall20.6%Draw64.5%Newcastle

Our prediction

Newcastle

Newcastle is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.44
Confidence64.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Millwall 14.9%
  • Draw 20.6%
  • Newcastle 64.5%

Season statistics

League Cup · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

MillwallNewcastle
Goals scored (avg)
1.91.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.41.9

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Millwall3W 3D 3L in last 9
  • 31 OctMillwall4 – 1DerbyW
  • 24 OctPortsmouth2 – 1MillwallL
  • 17 OctMillwall2 – 2LincolnD
  • 13 OctMillwall0 – 1SwanseaL
  • 10 OctPreston0 – 1MillwallW
  • 19 SeptMillwall2 – 2West HamD
  • 15 SeptMiddlesbrough2 – 2MillwallD
  • 12 SeptBlackburn3 – 1MillwallL
  • 5 SeptMillwall4 – 0BoltonW
Newcastle4W 1D 4L in last 9
  • 29 OctEverton3 – 1NewcastleL
  • 25 OctCrystal Palace0 – 2NewcastleW
  • 17 OctNewcastle0 – 1Aston VillaL
  • 12 OctCoventry4 – 1NewcastleL
  • 19 SeptNewcastle2 – 1Hull CityW
  • 14 SeptLeeds4 – 1NewcastleL
  • 5 SeptNewcastle2 – 2BournemouthD
  • 29 AugTottenham0 – 2NewcastleW
  • 26 AugNewcastle3 – 2West BromW
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.021.4% · 17
1.5 goals20% · 1.185.2% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.8% · 1.610.3% · 2.3
3.5 goals9.4% · 2.515.7% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes53.3%
No46.7%

Double chance

1X29.9%
X270.1%

Match result

Millwall6.25
Draw4.5
Newcastle1.44

Both teams to score

Yes53.3% · 1.75
No46.7% · 2

1X

Chance29.9%
Odds2.62

X2

Chance70.1%
Odds1.12

Millwall

Chance14.9%
Odds6.25

Draw

Chance20.6%
Odds4.5

Newcastle

Chance64.5%
Odds1.44

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Newcastle at 1.44

MillwallNewcastle
Recent form48%52%
Attack54%46%
Defence59%41%
Goals model54%46%
Overall19%81%

Trends

Trend · League Cup

Millwall scored 1.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · League Cup

Millwall conceded 1.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · League Cup

Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

Trend · League Cup

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Millwall vs Newcastle: prediction & preview

England · League Cup · Tue, 8 Sept 2026

Millwall meet Newcastle in the England, League Cup on 8 September 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Newcastle at 1.44. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 64.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.6, about 59% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Millwall vs Newcastle FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Millwall vs Newcastle match?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 8 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Millwall vs Newcastle?

Newcastle is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.44. The margin-adjusted share is about 64.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.6 and under 2.5 is 2.3.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.75. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.