Get Premium

Mirassol vs Flamengo Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie ASun, 16 Aug 2026

Mirassol

16th in table · 37 pts

DLWDL

Sun, 16 Aug 202622:30

1 : 5

Full time

Flamengo

1st in table · 73 pts

DWDWW

Pre-match win probability

23%Mirassol27.7%Draw49.3%Flamengo

Our prediction

Flamengo

Flamengo is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.91
Confidence49.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Mirassol 23%
  • Draw 27.7%
  • Flamengo 49.3%

Season statistics

Serie A · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

MirassolFlamengo
Goals scored (avg)
1.41.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
10.8
Wins
922
Played
3333

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Mirassol4W 3D 3L in last 10
  • 31 OctCorinthians2 – 0MirassolL
  • 24 OctMirassol1 – 1Sao PauloD
  • 17 OctMirassol2 – 0InternacionalW
  • 11 OctBahia1 – 0MirassolL
  • 7 OctRB Bragantino1 – 1MirassolD
  • 27 SeptUberlandia0 – 4MirassolW
  • 19 SeptMirassol2 – 0BotafogoW
  • 13 SeptMirassol2 – 2VitoriaD
  • 6 SeptCoritiba1 – 2MirassolW
  • 2 SeptFlamengo2 – 0MirassolL
Flamengo6W 4D 0L in last 10
  • 30 OctVasco DA Gama1 – 4FlamengoW
  • 27 OctFlamengo3 – 2Atletico-MGW
  • 23 OctFlamengo0 – 0Estudiantes L.P.D
  • 18 OctBahia0 – 3FlamengoW
  • 16 OctEstudiantes L.P.0 – 0FlamengoD
  • 11 OctFlamengo1 – 0FluminenseW
  • 8 OctSantos2 – 2FlamengoD
  • 20 SeptFlamengo2 – 1RB BragantinoW
  • 18 SeptFlamengo1 – 1Independiente del ValleD
  • 13 SeptFlamengo2 – 1CorinthiansW
H2H
Head to headMirassol 0W · 1D · Flamengo 2W · 3.7 goals a game
  • 2 SeptFlamengo2 – 0Mirassol
  • 6 DecMirassol3 – 3Flamengo
  • 9 AugFlamengo2 – 1Mirassol

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.4% · 1.062.5% · 9.5
1.5 goals18.3% · 1.36.8% · 3.5
2.5 goals11.9% · 213.2% · 1.8
3.5 goals6.8% · 3.518.3% · 1.3

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X40%
X260%

Match result

Mirassol4.1
Draw3.4
Flamengo1.91

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance40%
Odds1.83

X2

Chance60%
Odds1.22

Mirassol

Chance23%
Odds4.1

Draw

Chance27.7%
Odds3.4

Flamengo

Chance49.3%
Odds1.91

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Flamengo at 1.91

MirassolFlamengo
Recent form41%59%
Attack44%56%
Defence48%52%
Goals model44%56%
Head-to-head17%83%
Overall32%68%

Trends

Trend · Serie A

Mirassol scored 1.4 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie A

Mirassol conceded 1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie A

Failed to score in 3 of those 10.

Trend · Serie A

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

Mirassol vs Flamengo: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Sun, 16 Aug 2026

Mirassol meet Flamengo in the Brazil, Serie A on 16 August 2026 at 22:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–5.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Flamengo at 1.91. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 49.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Mirassol vs Flamengo FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Mirassol vs Flamengo match?

Kickoff is 22:30 on 16 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Mirassol vs Flamengo?

Flamengo is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.91. The margin-adjusted share is about 49.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.