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Mirassol vs Sao Paulo Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie ASat, 24 Oct 2026

Mirassol

16th in table · 37 pts

WDLWL

Sat, 24 Oct 202620:30

1 : 1

Full time

Sao Paulo

10th in table · 43 pts

LLWWL

Pre-match win probability

41.9%Mirassol29%Draw29%Sao Paulo

Our prediction

X · Mirassol

Mirassol vs Sao Paulo listed tip from the board.

Odds3.25
Confidence41.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Mirassol 41.9%
  • Draw 29%
  • Sao Paulo 29%

Season statistics

Serie A · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

MirassolSao Paulo
Goals scored (avg)
1.40.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
11.3
Wins
912
Played
3333

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Mirassol4W 2D 3L in last 9
  • 31 OctCorinthians2 – 0MirassolL
  • 17 OctMirassol2 – 0InternacionalW
  • 11 OctBahia1 – 0MirassolL
  • 7 OctRB Bragantino1 – 1MirassolD
  • 27 SeptUberlandia0 – 4MirassolW
  • 19 SeptMirassol2 – 0BotafogoW
  • 13 SeptMirassol2 – 2VitoriaD
  • 6 SeptCoritiba1 – 2MirassolW
  • 2 SeptFlamengo2 – 0MirassolL
Sao Paulo3W 1D 5L in last 9
  • 29 OctBahia3 – 2Sao PauloL
  • 18 OctSao Paulo1 – 0Vasco DA GamaW
  • 11 OctSao Paulo2 – 1VitoriaW
  • 8 OctCruzeiro2 – 0Sao PauloL
  • 3 OctSao Paulo1 – 2SantosL
  • 20 SeptSao Paulo1 – 0InternacionalW
  • 16 SeptSao Paulo1 – 1Boca JuniorsD
  • 12 SeptPalmeiras2 – 0Sao PauloL
  • 9 SeptBoca Juniors1 – 0Sao PauloL
H2H
Head to headMirassol 3W · 2D · Sao Paulo 4W · 2.8 goals a game
  • 26 AprSao Paulo1 – 0Mirassol
  • 12 JanMirassol3 – 0Sao Paulo
  • 19 OctMirassol3 – 0Sao Paulo
  • 24 MaySao Paulo0 – 2Mirassol
  • 5 FebSao Paulo4 – 1Mirassol
  • 23 JanMirassol1 – 1Sao Paulo
  • 13 MarMirassol0 – 3Sao Paulo
  • 18 MaySao Paulo4 – 0Mirassol
  • 9 MayMirassol1 – 1Sao Paulo

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.4% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals18.3% · 1.36.8% · 3.5
2.5 goals11.9% · 213.2% · 1.8
3.5 goals6.8% · 3.518.3% · 1.3

Both teams to score

Yes53.3%
No46.7%

Double chance

1X53.6%
X246.4%

Match result

Mirassol2.25
Draw3.25
Sao Paulo3.25

Both teams to score

Yes53.3% · 1.75
No46.7% · 2

1X

Chance53.6%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance46.4%
Odds1.57

Mirassol

Chance41.9%
Odds2.25

Draw

Chance29%
Odds3.25

Sao Paulo

Chance29%
Odds3.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X at 3.25

MirassolSao Paulo
Recent form58%42%
Attack61%39%
Defence54%46%
Goals model61%39%
Head-to-head44%56%
Overall59%41%

Trends

Trend · Serie A

Mirassol scored 1.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie A

Mirassol conceded 1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie A

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · Serie A

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Mirassol vs Sao Paulo: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Sat, 24 Oct 2026

Mirassol meet Sao Paulo in the Brazil, Serie A on 24 October 2026 at 20:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Mirassol at 2.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Mirassol vs Sao Paulo FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Mirassol vs Sao Paulo match?

Kickoff is 20:30 on 24 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Mirassol vs Sao Paulo?

Mirassol is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.75. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.