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Monaco vs Toulouse Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

France · Ligue 1Sat, 10 Oct 2026

Monaco

4th in table · 15 pts

WLWDL

Sat, 10 Oct 202619:45

2 : 2

Full time

Toulouse

11th in table · 10 pts

DWLWD

Pre-match win probability

59.9%Monaco23%Draw17.1%Toulouse

Our prediction

1 · Monaco

Monaco vs Toulouse listed tip from the board.

Odds1.57
Confidence59.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Monaco 59.9%
  • Draw 23%
  • Toulouse 17.1%

Season statistics

Ligue 1 · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

MonacoToulouse
Goals scored (avg)
1.61.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
11.6
Wins
42
Played
88

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Monaco5W 2D 2L in last 9
  • 1 NovParis FC3 – 1MonacoL
  • 25 OctMonaco1 – 1LilleD
  • 22 OctMonaco3 – 0SC FreiburgW
  • 18 OctLorient1 – 0MonacoL
  • 15 OctCSKA Sofia1 – 2MonacoW
  • 3 OctMonaco2 – 0PisaW
  • 18 SeptMonaco2 – 1LensW
  • 12 SeptStrasbourg1 – 1MonacoD
  • 4 SeptParis Saint Germain1 – 2MonacoW
Toulouse2W 3D 4L in last 9
  • 25 OctToulouse0 – 0Estac TroyesD
  • 16 OctLe Mans0 – 3ToulouseW
  • 3 OctToulouse2 – 3PAUL
  • 19 SeptToulouse3 – 2Le HavreW
  • 12 SeptLorient2 – 2ToulouseD
  • 3 SeptToulouse0 – 1LilleL
  • 29 AugStade Brestois 292 – 2ToulouseD
  • 22 AugToulouse0 – 2LyonL
  • 15 AugToulouse1 – 2Hamburger SVL
H2H
Head to headMonaco 4W · 2D · Toulouse 2W · 2.5 goals a game
  • 25 AprToulouse2 – 2Monaco
  • 25 OctMonaco1 – 0Toulouse
  • 7 MarToulouse1 – 1Monaco
  • 7 DecMonaco2 – 0Toulouse
  • 18 FebMonaco1 – 2Toulouse
  • 20 DecToulouse1 – 2Monaco
  • 3 JunMonaco1 – 2Toulouse
  • 6 NovToulouse0 – 2Monaco

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals20.3% · 1.174.8% · 5
2.5 goals15.1% · 1.5710% · 2.38
3.5 goals10% · 2.3815.1% · 1.57

Both teams to score

Yes57.6%
No42.4%

Double chance

1X65.8%
X234.2%

Match result

Monaco1.57
Draw4.1
Toulouse5.5

Both teams to score

Yes57.6% · 1.62
No42.4% · 2.2

1X

Chance65.8%
Odds1.17

X2

Chance34.2%
Odds2.25

Monaco

Chance59.9%
Odds1.57

Draw

Chance23%
Odds4.1

Toulouse

Chance17.1%
Odds5.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1 at 1.57

MonacoToulouse
Recent form65%35%
Attack53%47%
Defence59%41%
Goals model53%47%
Head-to-head63%37%
Overall78%22%

Trends

Trend · Ligue 1

Monaco scored 1.6 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Ligue 1

Monaco conceded 1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Ligue 1

Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

Trend · Ligue 1

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Monaco vs Toulouse: prediction & preview

France · Ligue 1 · Sat, 10 Oct 2026

Monaco meet Toulouse in the France, Ligue 1 on 10 October 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Monaco at 1.57. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 59.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.57, about 60.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Monaco vs Toulouse FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Monaco vs Toulouse match?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 10 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Monaco vs Toulouse?

Monaco is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.57. The margin-adjusted share is about 59.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.57 and under 2.5 is 2.38.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.