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Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Japan · J2 LeagueSun, 11 Oct 2026

Montedio Yamagata

16th in table · 16 pts

LDLLW

Sun, 11 Oct 202605:05

0 : 1

Full time

Vegalta Sendai

1st in table · 27 pts

WDWLL

Pre-match win probability

25.1%Montedio Yamagata27.3%Draw47.6%Vegalta Sendai

Our prediction

2 · Montedio Yamagata

Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai listed tip from the board.

Odds1.95
Confidence47.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Montedio Yamagata 25.1%
  • Draw 27.3%
  • Vegalta Sendai 47.6%

Season statistics

J2 League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Montedio YamagataVegalta Sendai
Goals scored (avg)
0.71.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.31.3
Wins
58
Played
1414

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Montedio Yamagata2W 1D 6L in last 9
  • 31 OctVanraure Hachinohe1 – 2Montedio YamagataW
  • 25 OctMontedio Yamagata0 – 2Tegevajaro MiyazakiL
  • 21 OctMontedio Yamagata0 – 2Consadole SapporoL
  • 17 OctFujieda MYFC0 – 0Montedio YamagataD
  • 3 OctOita Trinita2 – 1Montedio YamagataL
  • 29 SeptMontedio Yamagata1 – 2Yokohama F. MarinosL
  • 26 SeptMontedio Yamagata2 – 0Sagan TosuW
  • 19 SeptMontedio Yamagata0 – 2Kataller ToyamaL
  • 13 SeptAlbirex Niigata1 – 0Montedio YamagataL
Vegalta Sendai4W 2D 3L in last 9
  • 31 OctVegalta Sendai1 – 2Omiya ArdijaL
  • 25 OctAlbirex Niigata2 – 1Vegalta SendaiL
  • 21 OctVegalta Sendai3 – 1ImabariW
  • 17 OctVegalta Sendai0 – 0Tokushima VortisD
  • 4 OctVegalta Sendai2 – 1Jubilo IwataW
  • 26 SeptIwaki0 – 2Vegalta SendaiW
  • 20 SeptTochigi City1 – 3Vegalta SendaiW
  • 13 SeptVegalta Sendai1 – 1Consadole SapporoD
  • 9 SeptFukushima United4 – 3Vegalta SendaiL
H2H
Head to headMontedio Yamagata 1W · 2D · Vegalta Sendai 6W · 3 goals a game
  • 25 AprVegalta Sendai1 – 0Montedio Yamagata
  • 22 MarMontedio Yamagata0 – 1Vegalta Sendai
  • 20 SeptVegalta Sendai3 – 1Montedio Yamagata
  • 15 JunMontedio Yamagata3 – 4Vegalta Sendai
  • 22 JunMontedio Yamagata1 – 1Vegalta Sendai
  • 13 AprVegalta Sendai2 – 0Montedio Yamagata
  • 1 JulMontedio Yamagata4 – 1Vegalta Sendai
  • 13 MayVegalta Sendai2 – 1Montedio Yamagata
  • 25 JunVegalta Sendai1 – 1Montedio Yamagata

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.5% · 1.286.8% · 3.5
2.5 goals12.5% · 1.912.5% · 1.9
3.5 goals7.3% · 3.2517.8% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes53.6%
No46.4%

Double chance

1X41.6%
X258.4%

Match result

Montedio Yamagata3.7
Draw3.4
Vegalta Sendai1.95

Both teams to score

Yes53.6% · 1.73
No46.4% · 2

1X

Chance41.6%
Odds1.8

X2

Chance58.4%
Odds1.28

Montedio Yamagata

Chance25.1%
Odds3.7

Draw

Chance27.3%
Odds3.4

Vegalta Sendai

Chance47.6%
Odds1.95

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 2 at 1.95

Montedio YamagataVegalta Sendai
Recent form33%67%
Attack28%72%
Defence50%50%
Goals model28%72%
Head-to-head22%78%
Overall35%65%

Trends

Trend · J2 League

Montedio Yamagata scored 0.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · J2 League

Montedio Yamagata conceded 1.3 per game in the last 9.

Trend · J2 League

Failed to score in 5 of those 9.

Trend · J2 League

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai: prediction & preview

Japan · J2 League · Sun, 11 Oct 2026

Montedio Yamagata meet Vegalta Sendai in the Japan, J2 League on 11 October 2026 at 05:05 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Vegalta Sendai at 1.95. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 47.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.9, about 50% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai match?

Kickoff is 05:05 on 11 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai?

Vegalta Sendai is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.95. The margin-adjusted share is about 47.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.9 and under 2.5 is 1.9.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.73. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.