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Montenegro vs Latvia Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Nations LeagueThu, 12 Nov 2026

Montenegro

1st in table · 10 pts

DWWWD

Thu, 12 Nov 202620:45

2 : 1

Full time

Latvia

4th in table · 1 pts

LLDLL

Pre-match win probability

70.1%Montenegro19.8%Draw10.1%Latvia

Our prediction

Over 2.5 · Montenegro

Montenegro vs Latvia listed tip from the board.

Odds1.80
Confidence55.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Montenegro 70.1%
  • Draw 19.8%
  • Latvia 10.1%

Season statistics

UEFA Nations League · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

MontenegroLatvia
Goals scored (avg)
1.80.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.31
Wins
30
Played
44

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Montenegro6W 2D 2L in last 10
  • 5 OctMontenegro0 – 0ArmeniaD
  • 2 OctLatvia1 – 2MontenegroW
  • 28 SeptArmenia2 – 3MontenegroW
  • 25 SeptMontenegro2 – 1CyprusW
  • 5 JunSlovakia2 – 2MontenegroD
  • 1 JunBulgaria0 – 1MontenegroW
  • 31 MarMontenegro2 – 3SloveniaL
  • 27 MarMontenegro2 – 0AndorraW
  • 17 NovMontenegro2 – 3CroatiaL
  • 14 NovGibraltar1 – 2MontenegroW
Latvia2W 3D 5L in last 10
  • 5 OctCyprus2 – 1LatviaL
  • 2 OctLatvia1 – 2MontenegroL
  • 28 SeptLatvia0 – 0CyprusD
  • 25 SeptArmenia2 – 0LatviaL
  • 9 JunLatvia0 – 1Faroe IslandsL
  • 6 JunLithuania1 – 1LatviaD
  • 31 MarLatvia1 – 0GibraltarW
  • 26 MarGibraltar0 – 1LatviaW
  • 16 NovSerbia2 – 1LatviaL
  • 13 NovFYR Macedonia0 – 0LatviaD
H2H
Head to headMontenegro 2W · 2D · Latvia 0W · 2 goals a game
  • 2 OctLatvia1 – 2Montenegro
  • 7 SeptMontenegro0 – 0Latvia
  • 24 MarLatvia1 – 2Montenegro
  • 7 OctMontenegro1 – 1Latvia

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23% · 1.022.1% · 11
1.5 goals18.8% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals13% · 1.811.7% · 2
3.5 goals7.8% · 317.3% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes42.4%
No57.6%

Double chance

1X44.6%
1240.5%
X214.9%

Match result

Montenegro1.3
Draw4.6
Latvia9

Both teams to score

Yes42.4% · 2.2
No57.6% · 1.62

1X

Chance44.6%
Odds1.07

12

Chance40.5%
Odds1.18

X2

Chance14.9%
Odds3.2

Montenegro

Chance70.1%
Odds1.3

Draw

Chance19.8%
Odds4.6

Latvia

Chance10.1%
Odds9

First half result

Montenegro52.7% · 1.73
Draw37.2% · 2.45
Latvia10.1% · 9

Half goals

1st over 0.5100% · 1.36

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 2.5 at 1.80

MontenegroLatvia
Recent form69%31%
Attack75%25%
Defence46%54%
Goals model75%25%
Head-to-head75%25%
Overall87%13%

Trends

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Montenegro scored 1.8 per game in the last 10.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Montenegro conceded 1.3 per game in the last 10.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

Montenegro vs Latvia: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Nations League · Thu, 12 Nov 2026

Montenegro meet Latvia in the World, UEFA Nations League on 12 November 2026 at 20:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Montenegro at 1.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 70.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.62. The both-teams-to-score potential is 58%.

Montenegro are listed at 50 points per game. Latvia are listed at 0 points per game. Points per game is a season rate. It does not include late team news, so treat it as context next to the prices.

Montenegro vs Latvia FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Montenegro vs Latvia match?

Kickoff is 20:45 on 12 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Montenegro vs Latvia?

Montenegro is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 70.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.