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Moreirense vs Maritimo Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Primeira LigaMon, 14 Sept 2026

Moreirense

DLLWW

Mon, 14 Sept 202620:15

3 : 1

Full time

Maritimo

DLWLL

Pre-match win probability

34.3%Moreirense29.5%Draw36.3%Maritimo

Our prediction

Maritimo

Maritimo is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.6
Confidence36.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Moreirense 34.3%
  • Draw 29.5%
  • Maritimo 36.3%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

MoreirenseMaritimo
Goals scored (avg)
0.91.1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.72.1

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Moreirense3W 1D 5L in last 9
  • 31 OctMoreirense2 – 1EstrelaW
  • 25 OctEstoril1 – 3MoreirenseW
  • 17 OctAVS1 – 0MoreirenseL
  • 9 OctMoreirense0 – 1GIL VicenteL
  • 20 SeptVitória SC1 – 1MoreirenseD
  • 9 SeptMoreirense0 – 4BenficaL
  • 4 SeptFC Porto2 – 1MoreirenseL
  • 30 AugCasa Pia0 – 1MoreirenseW
  • 16 AugArouca4 – 0MoreirenseL
Maritimo2W 2D 5L in last 9
  • 27 OctSporting CP2 – 1MaritimoL
  • 23 OctVitória SC5 – 0MaritimoL
  • 18 OctAlcochetense1 – 2MaritimoW
  • 10 OctMaritimo1 – 2FC PortoL
  • 19 SeptGIL Vicente1 – 1MaritimoD
  • 5 SeptMaritimo0 – 3BenficaL
  • 29 AugArouca2 – 1MaritimoL
  • 22 AugMaritimo2 – 2Academico ViseuD
  • 16 AugFamalicao1 – 2MaritimoW
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.7% · 1.082.9% · 8
1.5 goals16.8% · 1.48.5% · 2.75
2.5 goals10.4% · 2.2514.5% · 1.62
3.5 goals5.9% · 419.2% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes48%
No52%

Double chance

1X48.3%
X251.7%

Match result

Moreirense2.75
Draw3.2
Maritimo2.6

Both teams to score

Yes48% · 1.95
No52% · 1.8

1X

Chance48.3%
Odds1.5

X2

Chance51.7%
Odds1.4

Moreirense

Chance34.3%
Odds2.75

Draw

Chance29.5%
Odds3.2

Maritimo

Chance36.3%
Odds2.6

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Maritimo at 2.6

MoreirenseMaritimo
Recent form56%44%
Attack45%55%
Defence59%41%
Goals model45%55%
Overall49%51%

Trends

Trend · Primeira Liga

Moreirense scored 0.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Moreirense conceded 1.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Failed to score in 4 of those 9.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

Moreirense vs Maritimo: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Mon, 14 Sept 2026

Moreirense meet Maritimo in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 14 September 2026 at 20:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Maritimo at 2.6. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 36.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Moreirense vs Maritimo FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Moreirense vs Maritimo match?

Kickoff is 20:15 on 14 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Moreirense vs Maritimo?

Maritimo is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.6. The margin-adjusted share is about 36.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.25 and under 2.5 is 1.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.