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Morton vs Raith Rovers Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Scotland · ChampionshipSat, 3 Oct 2026

Morton

9th in table · 10 pts

LLWWW

Sat, 3 Oct 202615:00

1 : 2

Full time

Raith Rovers

2nd in table · 24 pts

LWDLW

Pre-match win probability

17.2%Morton23.8%Draw59%Raith Rovers

Our prediction

2 · Morton

Morton vs Raith Rovers listed tip from the board.

Odds1.53
Confidence59%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Morton 17.2%
  • Draw 23.8%
  • Raith Rovers 59%

Season statistics

Championship · 8 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

MortonRaith Rovers
Goals scored (avg)
1.31.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.60.7
Wins
37
Played
1213

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Morton3W 1D 4L in last 8
  • 31 OctPartick2 – 3MortonW
  • 17 OctMorton2 – 0Queen's ParkW
  • 10 OctArbroath1 – 2MortonW
  • 25 SeptInverness CT2 – 0MortonL
  • 19 SeptMorton0 – 1DunfermlineL
  • 11 SeptMorton1 – 4LivingstonL
  • 5 SeptQueen's Park2 – 1MortonL
  • 29 AugAyr Utd1 – 1MortonD
Raith Rovers4W 2D 3L in last 9
  • 31 OctArbroath0 – 4Raith RoversW
  • 24 OctRaith Rovers0 – 2Inverness CTL
  • 17 OctStenhousemuir1 – 1Raith RoversD
  • 10 OctRaith Rovers2 – 0Queen's ParkW
  • 25 SeptRaith Rovers0 – 2LivingstonL
  • 19 SeptPartick0 – 0Raith RoversD
  • 12 SeptRaith Rovers4 – 0ArbroathW
  • 5 SeptInverness CT0 – 2Raith RoversW
  • 28 AugDunfermline1 – 0Raith RoversL
H2H
Head to headMorton 2W · 5D · Raith Rovers 2W · 2.6 goals a game
  • 11 AprRaith Rovers3 – 2Morton
  • 14 FebMorton0 – 0Raith Rovers
  • 1 NovRaith Rovers1 – 1Morton
  • 6 SeptMorton0 – 1Raith Rovers
  • 26 AprRaith Rovers1 – 1Morton
  • 25 MarMorton3 – 3Raith Rovers
  • 16 NovRaith Rovers2 – 3Morton
  • 5 OctMorton2 – 0Raith Rovers
  • 27 AprMorton0 – 0Raith Rovers

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.4% · 1.052.8% · 8.5
1.5 goals18.8% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.7% · 1.8512.1% · 1.95
3.5 goals7.2% · 3.2517.7% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes46.4%
No53.6%

Double chance

1X32.4%
X267.6%

Match result

Morton5.25
Draw3.8
Raith Rovers1.53

Both teams to score

Yes46.4% · 2
No53.6% · 1.73

1X

Chance32.4%
Odds2.3

X2

Chance67.6%
Odds1.1

Morton

Chance17.2%
Odds5.25

Draw

Chance23.8%
Odds3.8

Raith Rovers

Chance59%
Odds1.53

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 2 at 1.53

MortonRaith Rovers
Recent form42%58%
Attack48%52%
Defence38%62%
Goals model48%52%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall23%77%

Trends

Trend · Championship

Morton scored 1.3 per game in the last 8.

Trend · Championship

Morton conceded 1.6 per game in the last 8.

Trend · Championship

Failed to score in 2 of those 8.

Trend · Championship

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 8.

Morton vs Raith Rovers: prediction & preview

Scotland · Championship · Sat, 3 Oct 2026

Morton meet Raith Rovers in the Scotland, Championship on 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Raith Rovers at 1.53. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 59% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Morton vs Raith Rovers FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Morton vs Raith Rovers match?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 3 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Morton vs Raith Rovers?

Raith Rovers is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.53. The margin-adjusted share is about 59%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.85 and under 2.5 is 1.95.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.