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Mozambique vs Ethiopia Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationFri, 13 Nov 2026

Mozambique

2nd in table · 4 pts

LLLDW

Fri, 13 Nov 202614:00

vs

Not started

Ethiopia

4th in table · 0 pts

WWDLL

Pre-match win probability

58.7%Mozambique26.4%Draw15%Ethiopia

Our prediction

1 · Mozambique

Mozambique vs Ethiopia listed tip from the board.

Odds1.53
Confidence65.4%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Mozambique 58.7%
  • Draw 26.4%
  • Ethiopia 15%

Season statistics

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

MozambiqueEthiopia
Goals scored (avg)
1.20.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.90.9
Wins
10
Played
22

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Mozambique2W 2D 6L in last 10
  • 29 SeptMozambique4 – 1SudanW
  • 25 SeptMozambique1 – 1SenegalD
  • 9 JunIndonesia1 – 0MozambiqueL
  • 7 JunOman4 – 1MozambiqueL
  • 5 JanNigeria4 – 0MozambiqueL
  • 31 DecMozambique1 – 2CameroonL
  • 28 DecGabon2 – 3MozambiqueW
  • 24 DecIvory Coast1 – 0MozambiqueL
  • 17 NovChad2 – 2MozambiqueD
  • 14 NovMorocco1 – 0MozambiqueL
Ethiopia4W 1D 4L in last 9
  • 29 SeptEthiopia0 – 1SenegalL
  • 25 SeptSudan1 – 0EthiopiaL
  • 9 JunEthiopia1 – 1MalawiD
  • 6 JunEthiopia1 – 0MalawiW
  • 31 MarEthiopia1 – 0Sao Tome and PrincipeW
  • 27 MarSao Tome and Principe0 – 3EthiopiaW
  • 12 OctBurkina Faso3 – 1EthiopiaL
  • 8 OctEthiopia1 – 0Guinea-BissauW
  • 9 SeptSierra Leone2 – 0EthiopiaL
H2H
Head to headMozambique 0W · 1D · Ethiopia 0W · 0 goals a game
  • 14 JanEthiopia0 – 0Mozambique

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.6% · 1.083.3% · 7
1.5 goals16.7% · 1.48.5% · 2.75
2.5 goals10.4% · 2.2514.4% · 1.62
3.5 goals5.8% · 419.2% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes43%
No57%

Double chance

1X42.6%
1236.4%
X221%

Match result

Mozambique1.53
Draw3.4
Ethiopia6

Both teams to score

Yes43% · 2.15
No57% · 1.62

1X

Chance42.6%
Odds1.11

12

Chance36.4%
Odds1.3

X2

Chance21%
Odds2.25

Mozambique

Chance58.7%
Odds1.53

Draw

Chance26.4%
Odds3.4

Ethiopia

Chance15%
Odds6

First half result

Mozambique45.1% · 2
Draw42% · 2.15
Ethiopia12.9% · 7

Half goals

1st over 0.5100% · 1.4

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1 at 1.53

MozambiqueEthiopia
Recent form38%62%
Attack57%43%
Defence34%66%
Goals model57%43%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall80%20%

Trends

Trend · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Mozambique scored 1.2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Mozambique conceded 1.9 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Failed to score in 4 of those 10.

Trend · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Over 2.5 goals in 6 of those 10.

Mozambique vs Ethiopia: prediction & preview

World · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Fri, 13 Nov 2026

Mozambique meet Ethiopia in the World, Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on 13 November 2026 at 14:00 (Africa/Lagos). The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Mozambique at 1.53. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 58.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Mozambique vs Ethiopia FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Mozambique vs Ethiopia match?

Kickoff is 14:00 on 13 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Mozambique vs Ethiopia?

Mozambique is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.53. The margin-adjusted share is about 58.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.25 and under 2.5 is 1.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.15. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.