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Nacional Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Paraguay · Division Profesional - ClausuraMon, 12 Oct 2026

Nacional Asuncion

2nd in table · 32 pts

DDWLW

Mon, 12 Oct 202623:20

1 : 0

Live

Deportivo Recoleta

11th in table · 15 pts

LWDWW

Pre-match win probability

52.8%Nacional Asuncion27.2%Draw20%Deportivo Recoleta

Our prediction

1X · Nacional Asuncion

Nacional Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta listed tip from the board.

Odds1.17
Confidence52.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Nacional Asuncion 52.8%
  • Draw 27.2%
  • Deportivo Recoleta 20%

Season statistics

Division Profesional - Clausura · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Nacional AsuncionDeportivo Recoleta
Goals scored (avg)
1.41.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.70.9
Wins
94
Played
1717

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Nacional Asuncion4W 3D 2L in last 9
  • 31 OctSportivo Luqueno0 – 3Nacional AsuncionW
  • 24 OctNacional Asuncion0 – 1Sportivo TrinidenseL
  • 17 OctClub Guarani0 – 2Nacional AsuncionW
  • 6 OctOlimpia1 – 1Nacional AsuncionD
  • 30 SeptIndependiente F.b.c.2 – 2Nacional AsuncionD
  • 25 SeptNacional Asuncion1 – 1Sportivo AmelianoD
  • 18 SeptNacional Asuncion3 – 02 de MayoW
  • 13 SeptRubio NU0 – 1Nacional AsuncionW
  • 7 SeptCerro Porteno1 – 0Nacional AsuncionL
Deportivo Recoleta4W 2D 3L in last 9
  • 31 OctDeportivo Recoleta3 – 0Sportivo AmelianoW
  • 28 OctSportivo Luqueno0 – 2Deportivo RecoletaW
  • 24 Oct2 de Mayo1 – 1Deportivo RecoletaD
  • 16 OctDeportivo Recoleta1 – 0Rubio NUW
  • 5 OctDeportivo Recoleta1 – 2Libertad AsuncionL
  • 28 SeptClub Sp. San Lorenzo0 – 0Deportivo RecoletaD
  • 24 SeptDeportivo Recoleta3 – 1Guairena FCW
  • 20 SeptSportivo Luqueno1 – 0Deportivo RecoletaL
  • 12 SeptDeportivo Recoleta1 – 3Sportivo TrinidenseL
H2H
Head to headNacional Asuncion 2W · 4D · Deportivo Recoleta 2W · 2.3 goals a game
  • 3 AugDeportivo Recoleta3 – 2Nacional Asuncion
  • 24 AprNacional Asuncion2 – 1Deportivo Recoleta
  • 5 MarNacional Asuncion1 – 1Deportivo Recoleta
  • 27 FebDeportivo Recoleta2 – 2Nacional Asuncion
  • 28 NovDeportivo Recoleta0 – 0Nacional Asuncion
  • 6 SeptNacional Asuncion1 – 0Deportivo Recoleta
  • 22 AprNacional Asuncion1 – 1Deportivo Recoleta
  • 8 FebDeportivo Recoleta1 – 0Nacional Asuncion

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.052.1% · 11
1.5 goals18.9% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.8% · 1.8512.1% · 1.95
3.5 goals7.9% · 317.4% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes51.5%
No48.5%

Double chance

1X63.1%
X236.9%

Match result

Nacional Asuncion1.7
Draw3.3
Deportivo Recoleta4.5

Both teams to score

Yes51.5% · 1.8
No48.5% · 1.91

1X

Chance63.1%
Odds1.17

X2

Chance36.9%
Odds2

Nacional Asuncion

Chance52.8%
Odds1.7

Draw

Chance27.2%
Odds3.3

Deportivo Recoleta

Chance20%
Odds4.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.17

Nacional AsuncionDeportivo Recoleta
Recent form52%48%
Attack52%48%
Defence52%48%
Goals model52%48%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall73%27%

Trends

Trend · Division Profesional - Clausura

Nacional Asuncion scored 1.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Division Profesional - Clausura

Nacional Asuncion conceded 0.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Division Profesional - Clausura

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Division Profesional - Clausura

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 9.

Nacional Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta: prediction & preview

Paraguay · Division Profesional - Clausura · Mon, 12 Oct 2026

Nacional Asuncion meet Deportivo Recoleta in the Paraguay, Division Profesional - Clausura on 12 October 2026 at 23:20 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Nacional Asuncion at 1.7. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 52.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Nacional Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Nacional Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta match?

Kickoff is 23:20 on 12 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Nacional Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta?

Nacional Asuncion is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.7. The margin-adjusted share is about 52.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.85 and under 2.5 is 1.95.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.