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Nacional vs Estoril Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Primeira LigaSun, 16 Aug 2026

Nacional

Sun, 16 Aug 202615:30

2 : 0

Full time

Estoril

LLDLL

Pre-match win probability

31.5%Nacional28.7%Draw39.8%Estoril

Our prediction

Estoril

Estoril is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.38
Confidence39.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Nacional 31.5%
  • Draw 28.7%
  • Estoril 39.8%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · highlighted side is stronger

NacionalEstoril
Goals scored (avg)
–0.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–1.9

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Nacional0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Estoril0W 2D 7L in last 9
    • 31 OctFC Porto4 – 0EstorilL
    • 25 OctEstoril1 – 3MoreirenseL
    • 18 OctSalgueiros1 – 1EstorilD
    • 10 OctAcademico Viseu2 – 1EstorilL
    • 20 SeptEstoril1 – 2Casa PiaL
    • 14 SeptSC Braga1 – 0EstorilL
    • 7 SeptEstoril0 – 0AroucaD
    • 31 AugBenfica2 – 1EstorilL
    • 22 AugEstoril0 – 2Rio AveL
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
    1.5 goals18.5% · 1.286.8% · 3.5
    2.5 goals12.1% · 1.9512.8% · 1.85
    3.5 goals7.3% · 3.2517.8% · 1.33

    Both teams to score

    Yes54.7%
    No45.3%

    Double chance

    1X47.8%
    X252.2%

    Match result

    Nacional3
    Draw3.3
    Estoril2.38

    Both teams to score

    Yes54.7% · 1.7
    No45.3% · 2.05

    1X

    Chance47.8%
    Odds1.53

    X2

    Chance52.2%
    Odds1.4

    Nacional

    Chance31.5%
    Odds3

    Draw

    Chance28.7%
    Odds3.3

    Estoril

    Chance39.8%
    Odds2.38

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Estoril at 2.38

    NacionalEstoril
    Recent form33%67%
    Attack63%37%
    Defence48%52%
    Goals model63%37%
    Overall44%56%

    Trends

    Trend · Primeira Liga

    Estoril scored 0.6 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Primeira Liga

    Estoril conceded 1.9 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Primeira Liga

    Failed to score in 4 of those 9.

    Trend · Primeira Liga

    Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

    Nacional vs Estoril: prediction & preview

    Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sun, 16 Aug 2026

    Nacional meet Estoril in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 16 August 2026 at 15:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Estoril at 2.38. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.7.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Nacional vs Estoril FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is the Nacional vs Estoril match?

    Kickoff is 15:30 on 16 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    What are the safest picks for Nacional vs Estoril?

    Estoril is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.38. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.8%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.7. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.