Get Premium

Nacional vs Estrela Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Primeira LigaSun, 30 Aug 2026

Nacional

LLLWL

Sun, 30 Aug 202615:30

2 : 3

Full time

Estrela

Pre-match win probability

40.1%Nacional29.5%Draw30.4%Estrela

Our prediction

Nacional

Nacional is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.35
Confidence40.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Nacional 40.1%
  • Draw 29.5%
  • Estrela 30.4%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

NacionalEstrela
Goals scored (avg)
0.7–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.7–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Nacional2W 0D 7L in last 9
  • 1 NovArouca1 – 0NacionalL
  • 25 OctNacional1 – 0SC BragaW
  • 17 OctSanjoanense1 – 0NacionalL
  • 11 OctRio Ave3 – 2NacionalL
  • 19 SeptNacional0 – 4FamalicaoL
  • 12 SeptNacional1 – 3AlvercaL
  • 5 SeptSporting CP2 – 0NacionalL
  • 23 AugVitória SC1 – 0NacionalL
  • 16 AugNacional2 – 0EstorilW
Estrela0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
    1.5 goals18.5% · 1.286.8% · 3.5
    2.5 goals12.1% · 1.9512.8% · 1.85
    3.5 goals7% · 3.418.2% · 1.3

    Both teams to score

    Yes53.3%
    No46.7%

    Double chance

    1X53.6%
    X246.4%

    Match result

    Nacional2.35
    Draw3.2
    Estrela3.1

    Both teams to score

    Yes53.3% · 1.75
    No46.7% · 2

    1X

    Chance53.6%
    Odds1.36

    X2

    Chance46.4%
    Odds1.57

    Nacional

    Chance40.1%
    Odds2.35

    Draw

    Chance29.5%
    Odds3.2

    Estrela

    Chance30.4%
    Odds3.1

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Nacional at 2.35

    NacionalEstrela
    Recent form86%14%
    Attack41%59%
    Defence57%43%
    Goals model41%59%
    Overall57%43%

    Trends

    Trend · Primeira Liga

    Nacional scored 0.7 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Primeira Liga

    Nacional conceded 1.7 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Primeira Liga

    Failed to score in 5 of those 9.

    Trend · Primeira Liga

    Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

    Nacional vs Estrela: prediction & preview

    Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sun, 30 Aug 2026

    Nacional meet Estrela in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 30 August 2026 at 15:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–3.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Nacional at 2.35. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.75.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Nacional vs Estrela FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is the Nacional vs Estrela match?

    Kickoff is 15:30 on 30 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    What are the safest picks for Nacional vs Estrela?

    Nacional is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.35. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.1%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.75. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.