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Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Japan · J1 LeagueSun, 6 Sept 2026

Nagoya Grampus

11th in table · 14 pts

WDDLL

Sun, 6 Sept 202610:00

1 : 3

Full time

Machida Zelvia

3rd in table · 28 pts

WWDWD

Pre-match win probability

28.5%Nagoya Grampus28.5%Draw43%Machida Zelvia

Our prediction

Machida Zelvia

Machida Zelvia is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.15
Confidence43%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Nagoya Grampus 28.5%
  • Draw 28.5%
  • Machida Zelvia 43%

Season statistics

J1 League · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia
Goals scored (avg)
1.51.5
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.60.5
Wins
48
Played
1313

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Nagoya Grampus3W 3D 4L in last 10
  • 31 OctVissel Kobe3 – 1Nagoya GrampusL
  • 28 OctNagoya Grampus1 – 2UrawaL
  • 25 OctNagoya Grampus1 – 1Yokohama F. MarinosD
  • 21 OctNagoya Grampus1 – 1Cerezo OsakaD
  • 17 OctKashiwa Reysol1 – 3Nagoya GrampusW
  • 14 OctNagoya Grampus3 – 3Fagiano OkayamaD
  • 11 OctKawasaki Frontale1 – 2Nagoya GrampusW
  • 29 SeptKitakyushu1 – 3Nagoya GrampusW
  • 19 SeptFC Tokyo1 – 0Nagoya GrampusL
  • 12 SeptV-varen Nagasaki2 – 0Nagoya GrampusL
Machida Zelvia6W 3D 1L in last 10
  • 1 NovMachida Zelvia0 – 0Gamba OsakaD
  • 29 OctShanghai Shenhua0 – 1Machida ZelviaW
  • 24 OctVissel Kobe0 – 0Machida ZelviaD
  • 21 OctShimizu S-pulse0 – 5Machida ZelviaW
  • 18 OctMachida Zelvia3 – 0Avispa FukuokaW
  • 15 OctTampines Rovers0 – 1Machida ZelviaW
  • 10 OctKyoto Sanga0 – 1Machida ZelviaW
  • 3 OctMachida Zelvia0 – 0Kyoto SangaD
  • 23 SeptMachida Zelvia2 – 1Tochigi CityW
  • 20 SeptMachida Zelvia2 – 4Kashiwa ReysolL
H2H
Head to headNagoya Grampus 2W · 1D · Machida Zelvia 6W · 3 goals a game
  • 6 JunMachida Zelvia2 – 1Nagoya Grampus
  • 30 MayNagoya Grampus2 – 2Machida Zelvia
  • 30 NovMachida Zelvia3 – 1Nagoya Grampus
  • 2 MarNagoya Grampus1 – 2Machida Zelvia
  • 6 JulMachida Zelvia1 – 0Nagoya Grampus
  • 2 MarNagoya Grampus0 – 1Machida Zelvia
  • 16 AugMachida Zelvia3 – 4Nagoya Grampus
  • 17 MayNagoya Grampus2 – 1Machida Zelvia
  • 9 SeptNagoya Grampus0 – 1Machida Zelvia

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.052.1% · 11
1.5 goals18.9% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.8% · 1.8512.1% · 1.95
3.5 goals7.9% · 317.4% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X44.3%
X255.7%

Match result

Nagoya Grampus3.25
Draw3.25
Machida Zelvia2.15

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance44.3%
Odds1.67

X2

Chance55.7%
Odds1.33

Nagoya Grampus

Chance28.5%
Odds3.25

Draw

Chance28.5%
Odds3.25

Machida Zelvia

Chance43%
Odds2.15

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Machida Zelvia at 2.15

Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia
Recent form36%64%
Attack50%50%
Defence36%64%
Goals model50%50%
Head-to-head28%72%
Overall40%60%

Trends

Trend · J1 League

Nagoya Grampus scored 1.5 per game in the last 10.

Trend · J1 League

Nagoya Grampus conceded 1.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · J1 League

Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

Trend · J1 League

Over 2.5 goals in 6 of those 10.

Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia: prediction & preview

Japan · J1 League · Sun, 6 Sept 2026

Nagoya Grampus meet Machida Zelvia in the Japan, J1 League on 6 September 2026 at 10:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Machida Zelvia at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia match?

Kickoff is 10:00 on 6 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia?

Machida Zelvia is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 43%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.85 and under 2.5 is 1.95.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.