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Napoli vs Arsenal Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Champions LeagueWed, 9 Sept 2026

Napoli

22nd in table · 3 pts

LLWDW

Wed, 9 Sept 202620:00

0 : 1

Full time

Arsenal

7th in table · 7 pts

WDWDW

Pre-match win probability

15.2%Napoli23.7%Draw61.1%Arsenal

Our prediction

Over 1.5 · Napoli

Napoli vs Arsenal listed tip from the board.

Odds1.3
Confidence61.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Napoli 15.2%
  • Draw 23.7%
  • Arsenal 61.1%

Season statistics

UEFA Champions League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

NapoliArsenal
Goals scored (avg)
2.11.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.70.9
Wins
12
Played
33

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Napoli4W 2D 3L in last 9
  • 28 OctMonza1 – 4NapoliW
  • 24 OctNapoli3 – 3AS RomaD
  • 20 OctNapoli4 – 3Bodo/GlimtW
  • 17 OctVenezia1 – 0NapoliL
  • 13 OctVillarreal3 – 1NapoliL
  • 10 OctNapoli3 – 0FrosinoneW
  • 20 SeptFiorentina1 – 1NapoliD
  • 13 SeptNapoli1 – 0BolognaW
  • 5 SeptInter3 – 2NapoliL
Arsenal7W 2D 1L in last 10
  • 1 NovLiverpool0 – 1ArsenalW
  • 27 OctFleetwood Town1 – 1ArsenalD
  • 24 OctArsenal2 – 0EvertonW
  • 21 OctBayern München2 – 2ArsenalD
  • 18 OctNottingham Forest0 – 1ArsenalW
  • 13 OctArsenal3 – 0LilleW
  • 10 OctArsenal2 – 1LeedsW
  • 19 SeptBrighton3 – 0ArsenalL
  • 15 SeptIpswich2 – 4ArsenalW
  • 12 SeptSunderland0 – 2ArsenalW
H2H
Head to headNapoli 1W · 0D · Arsenal 3W · 1.8 goals a game
  • 18 AprNapoli0 – 1Arsenal
  • 11 AprArsenal2 – 0Napoli
  • 11 DecNapoli2 – 0Arsenal
  • 1 OctArsenal2 – 0Napoli

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals18.4% · 1.36.8% · 3.5
2.5 goals12.5% · 1.9112.5% · 1.91
3.5 goals7% · 3.417.9% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes48%
No52%

Double chance

1X32.7%
X267.3%

Match result

Napoli6.25
Draw4
Arsenal1.55

Both teams to score

Yes48% · 1.95
No52% · 1.8

1X

Chance32.7%
Odds2.3

X2

Chance67.3%
Odds1.12

Napoli

Chance15.2%
Odds6.25

Draw

Chance23.7%
Odds4

Arsenal

Chance61.1%
Odds1.55

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 1.5 at 1.3

NapoliArsenal
Recent form38%62%
Attack54%46%
Defence38%62%
Goals model54%46%
Head-to-head25%75%
Overall20%80%

Trends

Trend · UEFA Champions League

Napoli scored 2.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Champions League

Napoli conceded 1.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Champions League

Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

Trend · UEFA Champions League

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Napoli vs Arsenal: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Champions League · Wed, 9 Sept 2026

Napoli meet Arsenal in the World, UEFA Champions League on 9 September 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Arsenal at 1.55. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 61.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.91, about 50% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Napoli vs Arsenal FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Napoli vs Arsenal match?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 9 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Napoli vs Arsenal?

Arsenal is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.55. The margin-adjusted share is about 61.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.91 and under 2.5 is 1.91.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.