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Necaxa vs Leon Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga MXTue, 18 Aug 2026

Necaxa

17th in table · 10 pts

LDLLD

Tue, 18 Aug 202602:00

1 : 2

Full time

Leon

7th in table · 22 pts

WDLWD

Pre-match win probability

35%Necaxa28.6%Draw36.4%Leon

Our prediction

Leon

Leon is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.6
Confidence36.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Necaxa 35%
  • Draw 28.6%
  • Leon 36.4%

Season statistics

Liga MX · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

NecaxaLeon
Goals scored (avg)
11.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
21.4
Wins
26
Played
1414

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Necaxa0W 4D 6L in last 10
  • 24 OctNecaxa1 – 1FC JuarezD
  • 21 OctGuadalajara Chivas1 – 0NecaxaL
  • 17 OctNecaxa0 – 2AtlasL
  • 12 OctCF Pachuca3 – 3NecaxaD
  • 28 SeptNecaxa2 – 4Club AmericaL
  • 20 SeptAtletico San Luis3 – 1NecaxaL
  • 12 SeptNecaxa0 – 1PueblaL
  • 6 SeptTigres UANL1 – 1NecaxaD
  • 29 AugNecaxa1 – 3Cruz AzulL
  • 24 AugU.N.A.M. - Pumas1 – 1NecaxaD
Leon4W 3D 3L in last 10
  • 25 OctLeon1 – 1TolucaD
  • 21 OctTigres UANL0 – 2LeonW
  • 18 OctLeon3 – 5Club AmericaL
  • 10 OctPuebla1 – 1LeonD
  • 28 SeptLeon2 – 1FC JuarezW
  • 21 SeptClub Queretaro1 – 1LeonD
  • 15 SeptLeon2 – 0Atletico San LuisW
  • 11 SeptU.N.A.M. - Pumas3 – 1LeonL
  • 6 SeptLeon1 – 0Club AmericaW
  • 3 SeptToluca2 – 0LeonL
H2H
Head to headNecaxa 2W · 3D · Leon 4W · 2.2 goals a game
  • 11 JulLeon0 – 0Necaxa
  • 1 MarLeon2 – 1Necaxa
  • 3 JanLeon1 – 2Necaxa
  • 16 AugNecaxa0 – 1Leon
  • 15 MarNecaxa2 – 1Leon
  • 22 JulLeon1 – 1Necaxa
  • 1 AprNecaxa1 – 2Leon
  • 3 SeptLeon1 – 1Necaxa
  • 17 JanLeon2 – 1Necaxa

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.052.1% · 11
1.5 goals19.3% · 1.225.9% · 4
2.5 goals13.1% · 1.811.8% · 2
3.5 goals7.9% · 317.4% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes57.6%
No42.4%

Double chance

1X51%
X249%

Match result

Necaxa2.7
Draw3.3
Leon2.6

Both teams to score

Yes57.6% · 1.62
No42.4% · 2.2

1X

Chance51%
Odds1.44

X2

Chance49%
Odds1.5

Necaxa

Chance35%
Odds2.7

Draw

Chance28.6%
Odds3.3

Leon

Chance36.4%
Odds2.6

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Leon at 2.6

NecaxaLeon
Recent form21%79%
Attack42%58%
Defence38%62%
Goals model42%58%
Head-to-head39%61%
Overall49%51%

Trends

Trend · Liga MX

Necaxa scored 1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Liga MX

Necaxa conceded 2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Liga MX

Failed to score in 3 of those 10.

Trend · Liga MX

Over 2.5 goals in 4 of those 10.

Necaxa vs Leon: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga MX · Tue, 18 Aug 2026

Necaxa meet Leon in the Mexico, Liga MX on 18 August 2026 at 02:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Leon at 2.6. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 36.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Necaxa vs Leon FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Necaxa vs Leon match?

Kickoff is 02:00 on 18 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Necaxa vs Leon?

Leon is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.6. The margin-adjusted share is about 36.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.