Get Premium

Neftchi Baku vs Kapaz Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Azerbaijan · Premyer LiqaFri, 6 Nov 2026

Neftchi Baku

1st in table · 21 pts

WDDDW

Fri, 6 Nov 202617:00

vs

Not started

Kapaz

5th in table · 17 pts

WDWWW

Pre-match win probability

65.9%Neftchi Baku21.3%Draw12.8%Kapaz

Our prediction

Neftchi Baku

Neftchi Baku is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.36
Confidence65.9%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Neftchi Baku 65.9%
  • Draw 21.3%
  • Kapaz 12.8%

Season statistics

Premyer Liqa · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Neftchi BakuKapaz
Goals scored (avg)
2.51.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.11
Wins
65
Played
109

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Neftchi Baku6W 3D 1L in last 10
  • 1 NovŞamaxı FK2 – 3Neftchi BakuW
  • 24 OctNeftchi Baku1 – 1TuranD
  • 17 OctQarabag3 – 3Neftchi BakuD
  • 9 OctNeftchi Baku0 – 0Sabah FAD
  • 18 SeptQabala0 – 3Neftchi BakuW
  • 11 SeptImisli FK2 – 3Neftchi BakuW
  • 5 SeptNeftchi Baku4 – 1Safa BakuW
  • 30 AugZira1 – 0Neftchi BakuL
  • 23 AugNeftchi Baku5 – 0ArazW
  • 16 AugSumqayıt1 – 3Neftchi BakuW
Kapaz6W 2D 2L in last 10
  • 1 NovKapaz1 – 0Imisli FKW
  • 28 OctKapaz3 – 1Baku SportinqW
  • 24 OctSafa Baku1 – 2KapazW
  • 18 OctKapaz1 – 1ZiraD
  • 9 OctAraz0 – 2KapazW
  • 20 SeptKapaz1 – 1SumqayıtD
  • 12 SeptKapaz1 – 0QabalaW
  • 4 SeptKapaz1 – 4Şamaxı FKL
  • 30 AugKapaz1 – 0TuranW
  • 15 AugSabah FA2 – 0KapazL
H2H
Head to headNeftchi Baku 7W · 1D · Kapaz 2W · 3.5 goals a game
  • 23 MayKapaz0 – 1Neftchi Baku
  • 15 FebKapaz1 – 3Neftchi Baku
  • 1 NovNeftchi Baku5 – 1Kapaz
  • 4 MayNeftchi Baku2 – 2Kapaz
  • 5 MarKapaz1 – 0Neftchi Baku
  • 28 FebNeftchi Baku1 – 0Kapaz
  • 5 FebKapaz0 – 2Neftchi Baku
  • 15 DecNeftchi Baku2 – 1Kapaz
  • 4 OctKapaz4 – 3Neftchi Baku
  • 10 MayNeftchi Baku5 – 1Kapaz

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.042.6% · 9
1.5 goals19.1% · 1.225.8% · 4
2.5 goals13.7% · 1.711.1% · 2.1
3.5 goals8.9% · 2.6216.2% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes47.8%
No52.2%

Double chance

1X43.8%
1239.4%
X216.9%

Match result

Neftchi Baku1.36
Draw4.2
Kapaz7

Both teams to score

Yes47.8% · 1.91
No52.2% · 1.75

1X

Chance43.8%
Odds1.08

12

Chance39.4%
Odds1.2

X2

Chance16.9%
Odds2.8

Neftchi Baku

Chance65.9%
Odds1.36

Draw

Chance21.3%
Odds4.2

Kapaz

Chance12.8%
Odds7

First half result

Neftchi Baku48.9% · 1.83
Draw37.3% · 2.4
Kapaz13.8% · 6.5

Half goals

1st over 0.5100% · 1.3

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Neftchi Baku at 1.36

Neftchi BakuKapaz
Recent form51%49%
Attack66%34%
Defence49%51%
Goals model66%34%
Head-to-head75%25%
Overall84%16%

Trends

Trend · Premyer Liqa

Neftchi Baku scored 2.5 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Premyer Liqa

Neftchi Baku conceded 1.1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Premyer Liqa

Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

Trend · Premyer Liqa

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

Neftchi Baku vs Kapaz: prediction & preview

Azerbaijan · Premyer Liqa · Fri, 6 Nov 2026

Neftchi Baku meet Kapaz in the Azerbaijan, Premyer Liqa on 6 November 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Neftchi Baku at 1.36. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 65.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Neftchi Baku vs Kapaz FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Neftchi Baku vs Kapaz match?

Kickoff is 17:00 on 6 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Neftchi Baku vs Kapaz?

Neftchi Baku is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.36. The margin-adjusted share is about 65.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.7 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.