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New Mexico United vs Lexington Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

USA · USL ChampionshipThu, 27 Aug 2026

New Mexico United

1st in table · 52 pts

LWWLW

Thu, 27 Aug 202602:30

2 : 1

Full time

Lexington

4th in table · 48 pts

WWDWD

Pre-match win probability

36.8%New Mexico United25.7%Draw37.5%Lexington

Our prediction

1X · New Mexico United

New Mexico United vs Lexington listed tip from the board.

Odds1.5
Confidence37.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • New Mexico United 36.8%
  • Draw 25.7%
  • Lexington 37.5%

Season statistics

USL Championship · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

New Mexico UnitedLexington
Goals scored (avg)
1.62.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.41.6
Wins
1514
Played
3030

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

New Mexico United4W 3D 3L in last 10
  • 25 OctEl Paso Locomotive0 – 1New Mexico UnitedW
  • 18 OctSan Antonio1 – 0New Mexico UnitedL
  • 11 OctNew Mexico United3 – 1Monterey BayW
  • 4 OctNew Mexico United2 – 1Phoenix RisingW
  • 1 OctFC Tulsa1 – 0New Mexico UnitedL
  • 27 SeptNew Mexico United2 – 3Sacramento RepublicL
  • 20 SeptColorado Springs0 – 0New Mexico UnitedD
  • 17 SeptBirmingham Legion4 – 4New Mexico UnitedD
  • 12 SeptNew Mexico United2 – 2Indy ElevenD
  • 6 SeptLas Vegas Lights1 – 2New Mexico UnitedW
Lexington5W 2D 2L in last 9
  • 25 OctPhoenix Rising3 – 3LexingtonD
  • 18 OctLas Vegas Lights3 – 5LexingtonW
  • 10 OctLexington0 – 0FC TulsaD
  • 4 OctLexington3 – 1El Paso LocomotiveW
  • 27 SeptMonterey Bay2 – 3LexingtonW
  • 20 SeptLexington6 – 0Orange County SCW
  • 13 SeptOakland Roots1 – 4LexingtonW
  • 6 SeptSporting JAX3 – 2LexingtonL
  • 30 AugLexington0 – 1Colorado SpringsL
H2H
Head to headNew Mexico United 2W · 0D · Lexington 1W · 3.7 goals a game
  • 16 JulLexington1 – 4New Mexico United
  • 28 SeptNew Mexico United2 – 1Lexington
  • 15 JunLexington2 – 1New Mexico United

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.042.6% · 9
1.5 goals19.2% · 1.225.8% · 4
2.5 goals13.5% · 1.7311.2% · 2.08
3.5 goals8.5% · 2.7516.7% · 1.4

Both teams to score

Yes57.6%
No42.4%

Double chance

1X49%
X251%

Match result

New Mexico United2.45
Draw3.5
Lexington2.4

Both teams to score

Yes57.6% · 1.62
No42.4% · 2.2

1X

Chance49%
Odds1.5

X2

Chance51%
Odds1.44

New Mexico United

Chance36.8%
Odds2.45

Draw

Chance25.7%
Odds3.5

Lexington

Chance37.5%
Odds2.4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.5

New Mexico UnitedLexington
Recent form47%53%
Attack36%64%
Defence53%47%
Goals model36%64%
Head-to-head67%33%
Overall50%50%

Trends

Trend · USL Championship

New Mexico United scored 1.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · USL Championship

New Mexico United conceded 1.4 per game in the last 10.

Trend · USL Championship

Failed to score in 3 of those 10.

Trend · USL Championship

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

New Mexico United vs Lexington: prediction & preview

USA · USL Championship · Thu, 27 Aug 2026

New Mexico United meet Lexington in the USA, USL Championship on 27 August 2026 at 02:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Lexington at 2.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.73, about 54.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

New Mexico United vs Lexington FAQs

4 questions

What time is the New Mexico United vs Lexington match?

Kickoff is 02:30 on 27 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for New Mexico United vs Lexington?

Lexington is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.73 and under 2.5 is 2.08.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.