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New York City FC vs Chicago Fire Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

New York City FC

11th in table · 39 pts

LDDWD

Sun, 26 Jul 202600:30

3 : 1

Full time

Chicago Fire

4th in table · 55 pts

LLWDW

Pre-match win probability

37.3%New York City FC25.4%Draw37.3%Chicago Fire

Our prediction

1X · New York City FC

New York City FC vs Chicago Fire listed tip from the board.

Odds1.5
Confidence37.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • New York City FC 37.3%
  • Draw 25.4%
  • Chicago Fire 37.3%

Season statistics

Major League Soccer · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

New York City FCChicago Fire
Goals scored (avg)
1.21.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.41.7
Wins
916
Played
3333

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

New York City FC2W 4D 4L in last 10
  • 31 OctNew York City FC1 – 1CF MontrealD
  • 29 OctNew York City FC2 – 1Atlanta United FCW
  • 25 OctOrlando City SC2 – 2New York City FCD
  • 18 OctNew York City FC1 – 1Los Angeles FCD
  • 15 OctInter Miami2 – 0New York City FCL
  • 10 OctChicago Fire2 – 1New York City FCL
  • 27 SeptAtlanta United FC2 – 2New York City FCD
  • 19 SeptNew York City FC0 – 1New York Red BullsL
  • 13 SeptReal Salt Lake0 – 2New York City FCW
  • 10 SeptNew York City FC1 – 2New England RevolutionL
Chicago Fire5W 1D 4L in last 10
  • 1 NovColorado Rapids2 – 4Chicago FireW
  • 29 OctChicago Fire2 – 2Orlando City SCD
  • 25 OctAtlanta United FC2 – 3Chicago FireW
  • 18 OctNew England Revolution1 – 0Chicago FireL
  • 15 OctChicago Fire1 – 3Philadelphia UnionL
  • 10 OctChicago Fire2 – 1New York City FCW
  • 7 OctChicago Fire3 – 1Vancouver WhitecapsW
  • 27 SeptCharlotte0 – 1Chicago FireW
  • 20 SeptNashville SC3 – 0Chicago FireL
  • 13 SeptChicago Fire1 – 2New England RevolutionL
H2H
Head to headNew York City FC 5W · 3D · Chicago Fire 1W · 2.3 goals a game
  • 10 OctChicago Fire2 – 1New York City FC
  • 14 SeptChicago Fire1 – 3New York City FC
  • 25 MayNew York City FC3 – 1Chicago Fire
  • 25 AugNew York City FC2 – 2Chicago Fire
  • 14 JulChicago Fire0 – 0New York City FC
  • 22 OctNew York City FC1 – 0Chicago Fire
  • 5 MarChicago Fire1 – 1New York City FC
  • 21 AugChicago Fire0 – 2New York City FC
  • 22 MayNew York City FC1 – 0Chicago Fire

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals20% · 1.185.2% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.6% · 1.6210.5% · 2.25
3.5 goals9.4% · 2.515.7% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes60.9%
No39.1%

Double chance

1X50%
X250%

Match result

New York City FC2.55
Draw3.75
Chicago Fire2.55

Both teams to score

Yes60.9% · 1.53
No39.1% · 2.38

1X

Chance50%
Odds1.5

X2

Chance50%
Odds1.5

New York City FC

Chance37.3%
Odds2.55

Draw

Chance25.4%
Odds3.75

Chicago Fire

Chance37.3%
Odds2.55

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.5

New York City FCChicago Fire
Recent form38%62%
Attack41%59%
Defence55%45%
Goals model41%59%
Head-to-head72%28%
Overall50%50%

Trends

Trend · Major League Soccer

New York City FC scored 1.2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Major League Soccer

New York City FC conceded 1.4 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Major League Soccer

Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

Trend · Major League Soccer

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 10.

New York City FC vs Chicago Fire: prediction & preview

USA · Major League Soccer · Sun, 26 Jul 2026

New York City FC meet Chicago Fire in the USA, Major League Soccer on 26 July 2026 at 00:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is New York City FC at 2.55. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.53.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

New York City FC vs Chicago Fire FAQs

4 questions

What time is the New York City FC vs Chicago Fire match?

Kickoff is 00:30 on 26 July 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for New York City FC vs Chicago Fire?

New York City FC is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.55. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.62 and under 2.5 is 2.25.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.53. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.