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New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

New York Red Bulls

10th in table · 39 pts

LWLWL

Sun, 18 Oct 202600:30

0 : 2

Full time

Toronto FC

12th in table · 39 pts

LWDLW

Pre-match win probability

55.8%New York Red Bulls21.1%Draw23.1%Toronto FC

Our prediction

1 · New York Red Bulls

New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC listed tip from the board.

Odds1.7
Confidence55.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • New York Red Bulls 55.8%
  • Draw 21.1%
  • Toronto FC 23.1%

Season statistics

Major League Soccer · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

New York Red BullsToronto FC
Goals scored (avg)
1.21.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.22.4
Wins
119
Played
3232

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

New York Red Bulls4W 1D 4L in last 9
  • 29 OctNew England Revolution3 – 2New York Red BullsL
  • 24 OctNew York Red Bulls2 – 0Inter MiamiW
  • 15 OctDC United2 – 1New York Red BullsL
  • 11 OctNew York Red Bulls4 – 1San DiegoW
  • 1 OctNew York Red Bulls0 – 3St. Louis CityL
  • 19 SeptNew York City FC0 – 1New York Red BullsW
  • 13 SeptColumbus Crew0 – 1New York Red BullsW
  • 10 SeptLos Angeles FC2 – 0New York Red BullsL
  • 6 SeptSeattle Sounders0 – 0New York Red BullsD
Toronto FC3W 2D 4L in last 9
  • 29 OctToronto FC2 – 1DC UnitedW
  • 24 OctColumbus Crew4 – 2Toronto FCL
  • 15 OctToronto FC3 – 3Orlando City SCD
  • 10 OctToronto FC2 – 1CF MontrealW
  • 27 SeptNashville SC2 – 0Toronto FCL
  • 20 SeptSt. Louis City3 – 1Toronto FCL
  • 13 SeptOrlando City SC3 – 0Toronto FCL
  • 10 SeptToronto FC2 – 1Nashville SCW
  • 6 SeptToronto FC4 – 4Chicago FireD
H2H
Head to headNew York Red Bulls 5W · 4D · Toronto FC 0W · 2.2 goals a game
  • 14 MarToronto FC1 – 1New York Red Bulls
  • 26 JunToronto FC1 – 1New York Red Bulls
  • 23 MarNew York Red Bulls2 – 1Toronto FC
  • 3 OctToronto FC1 – 4New York Red Bulls
  • 28 JulNew York Red Bulls0 – 0Toronto FC
  • 23 JunNew York Red Bulls3 – 0Toronto FC
  • 8 OctNew York Red Bulls3 – 0Toronto FC
  • 18 MayToronto FC0 – 0New York Red Bulls
  • 19 JunNew York Red Bulls2 – 0Toronto FC

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.5% · 1.010.8% · 29
1.5 goals22% · 1.083% · 8
2.5 goals17.8% · 1.337% · 3.4
3.5 goals13% · 1.8313% · 1.83

Both teams to score

Yes66.3%
No33.7%

Double chance

1X63.3%
X236.7%

Match result

New York Red Bulls1.7
Draw4.5
Toronto FC4.1

Both teams to score

Yes66.3% · 1.4
No33.7% · 2.75

1X

Chance63.3%
Odds1.22

X2

Chance36.7%
Odds2.1

New York Red Bulls

Chance55.8%
Odds1.7

Draw

Chance21.1%
Odds4.5

Toronto FC

Chance23.1%
Odds4.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1 at 1.7

New York Red BullsToronto FC
Recent form54%46%
Attack40%60%
Defence75%25%
Goals model40%60%
Head-to-head78%22%
Overall71%29%

Trends

Trend · Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls scored 1.2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls conceded 1.2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Major League Soccer

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · Major League Soccer

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 9.

New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC: prediction & preview

USA · Major League Soccer · Sun, 18 Oct 2026

New York Red Bulls meet Toronto FC in the USA, Major League Soccer on 18 October 2026 at 00:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is New York Red Bulls at 1.7. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 55.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.33, about 71.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.4.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC FAQs

4 questions

What time is the New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC match?

Kickoff is 00:30 on 18 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC?

New York Red Bulls is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.7. The margin-adjusted share is about 55.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.33 and under 2.5 is 3.4.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.4. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.