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Newport County vs Chesterfield Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · League TwoFri, 30 Oct 2026

Newport County

16th in table · 15 pts

DWDDL

Fri, 30 Oct 202620:45

4 : 1

Full time

Chesterfield

7th in table · 19 pts

WDLDW

Pre-match win probability

26.5%Newport County27.3%Draw46.2%Chesterfield

Our prediction

GG · Newport County

Newport County vs Chesterfield listed tip from the board.

Odds1.67
Confidence59.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Newport County 26.5%
  • Draw 27.3%
  • Chesterfield 46.2%

Season statistics

League Two · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Newport CountyChesterfield
Goals scored (avg)
1.12.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.81.4
Wins
35
Played
1313

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Newport County3W 6D 1L in last 10
  • 24 OctCheltenham1 – 0Newport CountyL
  • 20 OctRotherham2 – 2Newport CountyD
  • 17 OctNewport County1 – 1YorkD
  • 10 OctNewport County1 – 0ColchesterW
  • 6 OctNewport County2 – 2PlymouthD
  • 3 OctGillingham0 – 0Newport CountyD
  • 26 SeptNewport County2 – 1GrimsbyW
  • 22 SeptSwindon Town0 – 2Newport CountyW
  • 19 SeptAccrington ST0 – 0Newport CountyD
  • 12 SeptNewport County1 – 1Fleetwood TownD
Chesterfield5W 3D 2L in last 10
  • 24 OctChesterfield5 – 1CreweW
  • 20 OctChesterfield1 – 1ColchesterD
  • 17 OctPort Vale1 – 0ChesterfieldL
  • 10 OctCrawley Town2 – 2ChesterfieldD
  • 3 OctChesterfield4 – 2TranmereW
  • 26 SeptCheltenham2 – 1ChesterfieldL
  • 22 SeptChesterfield1 – 1Port ValeD
  • 19 SeptChesterfield2 – 0YorkW
  • 15 SeptChesterfield5 – 3Manchester City U21W
  • 12 SeptOldham1 – 2ChesterfieldW
H2H
Head to headNewport County 3W · 1D · Chesterfield 4W · 3.4 goals a game
  • 24 JanNewport County2 – 1Chesterfield
  • 27 SeptChesterfield4 – 1Newport County
  • 8 MarChesterfield2 – 1Newport County
  • 18 OctNewport County0 – 3Chesterfield
  • 1 MayChesterfield1 – 0Newport County
  • 26 AugNewport County4 – 1Chesterfield
  • 5 AprChesterfield1 – 1Newport County
  • 1 DecNewport County3 – 2Chesterfield

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.052.1% · 11
1.5 goals18.9% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.8% · 1.8512.1% · 1.95
3.5 goals7.9% · 317.4% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X26.7%
1235.9%
X237.4%

Match result

Newport County3.4
Draw3.3
Chesterfield1.95

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance26.7%
Odds1.75

12

Chance35.9%
Odds1.3

X2

Chance37.4%
Odds1.25

Newport County

Chance26.5%
Odds3.4

Draw

Chance27.3%
Odds3.3

Chesterfield

Chance46.2%
Odds1.95

First half result

Newport County23.6% · 3.8
Draw39.8% · 2.25
Chesterfield36.6% · 2.45

Half goals

1st over 0.5100% · 1.3

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: GG at 1.67

Newport CountyChesterfield
Recent form45%55%
Attack32%68%
Defence58%42%
Goals model32%68%
Head-to-head44%56%
Overall36%64%

Trends

Trend · League Two

Newport County scored 1.1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · League Two

Newport County conceded 0.8 per game in the last 10.

Trend · League Two

Failed to score in 3 of those 10.

Trend · League Two

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 10.

Newport County vs Chesterfield: prediction & preview

England · League Two · Fri, 30 Oct 2026

Newport County meet Chesterfield in the England, League Two on 30 October 2026 at 20:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Chesterfield at 1.95. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 46.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Newport County vs Chesterfield FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Newport County vs Chesterfield match?

Kickoff is 20:45 on 30 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Newport County vs Chesterfield?

Chesterfield is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.95. The margin-adjusted share is about 46.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.85 and under 2.5 is 1.95.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.