Get Premium

Nice vs Lille Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

France · Ligue 1Sun, 20 Sept 2026

Nice

7th in table · 14 pts

LWLWW

Sun, 20 Sept 202616:15

2 : 1

Full time

Lille

2nd in table · 18 pts

Pre-match win probability

29.1%Nice27%Draw43.9%Lille

Our prediction

Lille

Lille is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.15
Confidence43.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Nice 29.1%
  • Draw 27%
  • Lille 43.9%

Season statistics

Ligue 1 · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

NiceLille
Goals scored (avg)
1.2–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.2–
Wins
45
Played
99

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Nice3W 3D 3L in last 9
  • 30 OctNice5 – 2RennesW
  • 23 OctStade Brestois 291 – 2NiceW
  • 18 OctLyon2 – 1NiceL
  • 11 OctNice2 – 1StrasbourgW
  • 12 SeptAuxerre1 – 0NiceL
  • 5 SeptNice1 – 1Le MansD
  • 30 AugParis FC3 – 0NiceL
  • 22 AugNice0 – 0LorientD
  • 15 AugHull City0 – 0NiceD
Lille0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headNice 3W · 4D · Lille 2W · 2.6 goals a game
    • 18 AprLille0 – 0Nice
    • 29 OctNice2 – 0Lille
    • 17 JanLille2 – 1Nice
    • 10 NovNice2 – 2Lille
    • 19 MayLille2 – 2Nice
    • 11 AugNice1 – 1Lille
    • 29 JanNice1 – 0Lille
    • 31 AugLille1 – 2Nice
    • 14 MayNice1 – 3Lille

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.7% · 1.052.2% · 11
    1.5 goals19.1% · 1.256% · 4
    2.5 goals13.2% · 1.811.9% · 2
    3.5 goals7.9% · 317% · 1.4

    Both teams to score

    Yes57.6%
    No42.4%

    Double chance

    1X44.3%
    X255.7%

    Match result

    Nice3.25
    Draw3.5
    Lille2.15

    Both teams to score

    Yes57.6% · 1.62
    No42.4% · 2.2

    1X

    Chance44.3%
    Odds1.67

    X2

    Chance55.7%
    Odds1.33

    Nice

    Chance29.1%
    Odds3.25

    Draw

    Chance27%
    Odds3.5

    Lille

    Chance43.9%
    Odds2.15

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Lille at 2.15

    NiceLille
    Recent form92%8%
    Attack55%45%
    Defence64%36%
    Goals model55%45%
    Head-to-head56%44%
    Overall40%60%

    Trends

    Trend · Ligue 1

    Nice scored 1.2 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Ligue 1

    Nice conceded 1.2 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Ligue 1

    Failed to score in 4 of those 9.

    Trend · Ligue 1

    Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

    Nice vs Lille: prediction & preview

    France · Ligue 1 · Sun, 20 Sept 2026

    Nice meet Lille in the France, Ligue 1 on 20 September 2026 at 16:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Lille at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Nice vs Lille FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is the Nice vs Lille match?

    Kickoff is 16:15 on 20 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    What are the safest picks for Nice vs Lille?

    Lille is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.9%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 2.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.