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Northampton vs Newport County Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · League TwoSat, 5 Sept 2026

Northampton

LDWLW

Sat, 5 Sept 202615:00

1 : 0

Full time

Newport County

DWDDL

Pre-match win probability

53.6%Northampton25.8%Draw20.6%Newport County

Our prediction

1X · Northampton

Northampton vs Newport County listed tip from the board.

Odds1.2
Confidence53.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Northampton 53.6%
  • Draw 25.8%
  • Newport County 20.6%

Season statistics

League Two · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

NorthamptonNewport County
Goals scored (avg)
0.91.1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
10.8

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Northampton2W 3D 4L in last 9
  • 24 OctNorthampton2 – 0ColchesterW
  • 20 OctNorthampton0 – 1TranmereL
  • 17 OctGrimsby0 – 2NorthamptonW
  • 10 OctYork1 – 1NorthamptonD
  • 6 OctCambridge United2 – 1NorthamptonL
  • 19 SeptNorthampton0 – 1RotherhamL
  • 12 SeptShrewsbury2 – 0NorthamptonL
  • 1 SeptNorthampton1 – 1Crawley TownD
  • 29 AugGillingham1 – 1NorthamptonD
Newport County3W 6D 1L in last 10
  • 24 OctCheltenham1 – 0Newport CountyL
  • 20 OctRotherham2 – 2Newport CountyD
  • 17 OctNewport County1 – 1YorkD
  • 10 OctNewport County1 – 0ColchesterW
  • 6 OctNewport County2 – 2PlymouthD
  • 3 OctGillingham0 – 0Newport CountyD
  • 26 SeptNewport County2 – 1GrimsbyW
  • 22 SeptSwindon Town0 – 2Newport CountyW
  • 19 SeptAccrington ST0 – 0Newport CountyD
  • 12 SeptNewport County1 – 1Fleetwood TownD
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals18.2% · 1.37% · 3.4
2.5 goals11.8% · 213.1% · 1.8
3.5 goals6.8% · 3.518.5% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X62.5%
X237.5%

Match result

Northampton1.73
Draw3.6
Newport County4.5

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance62.5%
Odds1.2

X2

Chance37.5%
Odds2

Northampton

Chance53.6%
Odds1.73

Draw

Chance25.8%
Odds3.6

Newport County

Chance20.6%
Odds4.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.2

NorthamptonNewport County
Recent form38%62%
Attack45%55%
Defence48%52%
Goals model45%55%
Overall72%28%

Trends

Trend · League Two

Northampton scored 0.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · League Two

Northampton conceded 1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · League Two

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · League Two

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Northampton vs Newport County: prediction & preview

England · League Two · Sat, 5 Sept 2026

Northampton meet Newport County in the England, League Two on 5 September 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Northampton at 1.73. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 53.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Northampton vs Newport County FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Northampton vs Newport County match?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 5 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Northampton vs Newport County?

Northampton is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.73. The margin-adjusted share is about 53.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.