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Norway vs Wales Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Nations LeagueSat, 14 Nov 2026

Norway

4th in table · 3 pts

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Sat, 14 Nov 202618:00

vs

Not started

Wales

3rd in table · 3 pts

LLLWL

Pre-match win probability

75.8%Norway15.2%Draw9.1%Wales

Our prediction

1 · Norway

Norway vs Wales listed tip from the board.

Odds1.20
Confidence83.3%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Norway 75.8%
  • Draw 15.2%
  • Wales 9.1%

Season statistics

UEFA Nations League · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

NorwayWales
Goals scored (avg)
1.91.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.91.1
Wins
11
Played
44

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Norway5W 0D 5L in last 10
  • 4 OctPortugal2 – 1NorwayL
  • 1 OctWales2 – 1NorwayL
  • 27 SeptNorway1 – 2PortugalL
  • 24 SeptNorway3 – 2DenmarkW
  • 11 JulNorway1 – 2EnglandL
  • 5 JulBrazil1 – 2NorwayW
  • 30 JunIvory Coast1 – 2NorwayW
  • 26 JunNorway1 – 4FranceL
  • 23 JunNorway3 – 2SenegalW
  • 16 JunIraq1 – 4NorwayW
Wales3W 3D 4L in last 10
  • 4 OctWales0 – 1DenmarkL
  • 1 OctWales2 – 1NorwayW
  • 27 SeptDenmark2 – 0WalesL
  • 24 SeptPortugal1 – 0WalesL
  • 6 JunRomania2 – 1WalesL
  • 2 JunWales1 – 1GhanaD
  • 31 MarWales1 – 1Northern IrelandD
  • 26 MarWales1 – 1Bosnia & HerzegovinaD
  • 18 NovWales7 – 1FYR MacedoniaW
  • 15 NovLiechtenstein0 – 1WalesW
H2H
Head to headNorway 0W · 0D · Wales 1W · 3 goals a game
  • 1 OctWales2 – 1Norway

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.4% · 1.011.1% · 21
1.5 goals21.1% · 1.123.9% · 6
2.5 goals16.9% · 1.48.2% · 2.88
3.5 goals11.8% · 213.6% · 1.73

Both teams to score

Yes51.1%
No48.9%

Double chance

1X45.5%
1242.6%
X211.9%

Match result

Norway1.2
Draw6
Wales10

Both teams to score

Yes51.1% · 1.83
No48.9% · 1.91

1X

Chance45.5%
Odds1.05

12

Chance42.6%
Odds1.12

X2

Chance11.9%
Odds4

Norway

Chance75.8%
Odds1.2

Draw

Chance15.2%
Odds6

Wales

Chance9.1%
Odds10

First half result

Norway58.3% · 1.57
Draw31.6% · 2.9
Wales10.2% · 9

Half goals

1st over 0.5100% · 1.22

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1 at 1.20

NorwayWales
Recent form56%44%
Attack58%42%
Defence37%63%
Goals model58%42%
Head-to-head0%100%
Overall89%11%

Trends

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Norway scored 1.9 per game in the last 10.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Norway conceded 1.9 per game in the last 10.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Over 2.5 goals in 10 of those 10.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Both teams scored in 10 of those 10.

Norway vs Wales: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Nations League · Sat, 14 Nov 2026

Norway meet Wales in the World, UEFA Nations League on 14 November 2026 at 18:00 (Africa/Lagos). The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Norway at 1.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 75.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.4, about 67.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Norway vs Wales FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Norway vs Wales match?

Kickoff is 18:00 on 14 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Norway vs Wales?

Norway is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 75.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.4 and under 2.5 is 2.88.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.