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Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie BMon, 12 Oct 2026

Novorizontino

2nd in table · 64 pts

DWWDW

Mon, 12 Oct 202623:00

4 : 1

Live

Ponte Preta

20th in table · 15 pts

LLDDL

Pre-match win probability

87.1%Novorizontino9.3%Draw3.6%Ponte Preta

Our prediction

Novorizontino

Novorizontino is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.07
Confidence87.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Novorizontino 87.1%
  • Draw 9.3%
  • Ponte Preta 3.6%

Season statistics

Serie B · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

NovorizontinoPonte Preta
Goals scored (avg)
1.80.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.82.1
Wins
183
Played
3536

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Novorizontino5W 3D 1L in last 9
  • 24 OctAtletico Goianiense0 – 1NovorizontinoW
  • 18 OctVila Nova2 – 2NovorizontinoD
  • 8 OctNautico Recife0 – 2NovorizontinoW
  • 2 OctNovorizontino3 – 0GoiasW
  • 25 SeptNovorizontino0 – 0São BernardoD
  • 19 SeptCeara2 – 1NovorizontinoL
  • 13 SeptNovorizontino1 – 1CuiabaD
  • 9 SeptBotafogo SP1 – 3NovorizontinoW
  • 5 SeptNovorizontino3 – 1AvaiW
Ponte Preta1W 2D 6L in last 9
  • 30 OctCriciuma2 – 0Ponte PretaL
  • 24 OctPonte Preta2 – 2Fortaleza ECD
  • 16 OctPonte Preta1 – 1Atletico GoianienseD
  • 7 OctPonte Preta0 – 2JuventudeL
  • 3 OctCuiaba2 – 0Ponte PretaL
  • 29 SeptBotafogo SP2 – 0Ponte PretaL
  • 20 SeptPonte Preta1 – 0CRBW
  • 15 SeptLondrina6 – 0Ponte PretaL
  • 11 SeptSport Recife2 – 0Ponte PretaL
H2H
Head to headNovorizontino 3W · 3D · Ponte Preta 3W · 1.6 goals a game
  • 23 JunPonte Preta0 – 2Novorizontino
  • 15 JanNovorizontino0 – 1Ponte Preta
  • 1 OctNovorizontino2 – 1Ponte Preta
  • 15 JunPonte Preta1 – 0Novorizontino
  • 3 MarPonte Preta1 – 1Novorizontino
  • 28 OctNovorizontino2 – 0Ponte Preta
  • 3 JulPonte Preta1 – 0Novorizontino
  • 8 AprPonte Preta0 – 0Novorizontino
  • 5 AprNovorizontino1 – 1Ponte Preta

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.5% · 1.010.9% · 26
1.5 goals22.2% · 1.072.6% · 9
2.5 goals18.6% · 1.286.6% · 3.6
3.5 goals13.7% · 1.7311.9% · 2

Both teams to score

Yes37.5%
No62.5%

Double chance

1X89.9%
X210.1%

Match result

Novorizontino1.07
Draw10
Ponte Preta26

Both teams to score

Yes37.5% · 2.5
No62.5% · 1.5

1X

Chance89.9%
Odds1.01

X2

Chance10.1%
Odds9

Novorizontino

Chance87.1%
Odds1.07

Draw

Chance9.3%
Odds10

Ponte Preta

Chance3.6%
Odds26

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Novorizontino at 1.07

NovorizontinoPonte Preta
Recent form78%22%
Attack82%18%
Defence71%29%
Goals model82%18%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall96%4%

Trends

Trend · Serie B

Novorizontino scored 1.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie B

Novorizontino conceded 0.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie B

Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

Trend · Serie B

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 9.

Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie B · Mon, 12 Oct 2026

Novorizontino meet Ponte Preta in the Brazil, Serie B on 12 October 2026 at 23:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Novorizontino at 1.07. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 87.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.28, about 73.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta match?

Kickoff is 23:00 on 12 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta?

Novorizontino is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.07. The margin-adjusted share is about 87.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.28 and under 2.5 is 3.6.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.