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Numancia vs Guadalajara Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Sun, 27 Sept 2026

Numancia

6th in table · 13 pts

DDDLD

Sun, 27 Sept 202616:30

1 : 0

Full time

Guadalajara

12th in table · 9 pts

DDWLD

Pre-match win probability

51.8%Numancia26.4%Draw21.9%Guadalajara

Our prediction

1 · Numancia

Numancia vs Guadalajara listed tip from the board.

Odds1.73
Confidence51.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Numancia 51.8%
  • Draw 26.4%
  • Guadalajara 21.9%

Season statistics

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

NumanciaGuadalajara
Goals scored (avg)
1.32
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.92.1
Wins
32
Played
88

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Numancia3W 5D 1L in last 9
  • 29 OctNumancia3 – 3OviedoD
  • 24 OctNumancia2 – 3NavalcarneroL
  • 18 OctNumancia0 – 0CF TalaveraD
  • 11 OctReal Ávila1 – 1NumanciaD
  • 4 OctGetafe II0 – 0NumanciaD
  • 19 SeptSS Reyes0 – 0NumanciaD
  • 13 SeptNumancia2 – 0A Madrid IIIW
  • 6 SeptAtlético Paso0 – 2NumanciaW
  • 22 AugNumancia2 – 1ZaragozaW
Guadalajara2W 4D 3L in last 9
  • 25 OctGuadalajara4 – 4Real Valladolid IID
  • 18 OctAtlético Tordesillas3 – 0GuadalajaraL
  • 11 OctGuadalajara4 – 1Getafe IIW
  • 7 OctReal Madrid III1 – 1GuadalajaraD
  • 3 OctGuadalajara3 – 3Gimnástica SegovianaD
  • 13 SeptGuadalajara2 – 1RSD AlcaláW
  • 6 SeptGuadalajara2 – 3Salamanca UDSL
  • 18 AugMarchamalo1 – 0GuadalajaraL
  • 23 MayGuadalajara2 – 2Real Madrid IID
H2H
Head to headNumancia 0W · 0D · Guadalajara 2W · 1.5 goals a game
  • 7 AprGuadalajara1 – 0Numancia
  • 26 NovNumancia0 – 2Guadalajara

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals41.9% · 2.2558.1% · 1.62

Double chance

1X62%
X238%

Match result

Numancia1.73
Draw3.4
Guadalajara4.1

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance62%
Odds1.17

X2

Chance38%
Odds1.91

Numancia

Chance51.8%
Odds1.73

Draw

Chance26.4%
Odds3.4

Guadalajara

Chance21.9%
Odds4.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1 at 1.73

NumanciaGuadalajara
Recent form58%42%
Attack39%61%
Defence70%30%
Goals model39%61%
Head-to-head0%100%
Overall70%30%

Trends

Trend · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

Numancia scored 1.3 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

Numancia conceded 0.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

Kept a clean sheet in 5 of those 9.

Numancia vs Guadalajara: prediction & preview

Spain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · Sun, 27 Sept 2026

Numancia meet Guadalajara in the Spain, Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 on 27 September 2026 at 16:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Numancia at 1.73. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 51.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Numancia vs Guadalajara FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Numancia vs Guadalajara match?

Kickoff is 16:30 on 27 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Numancia vs Guadalajara?

Numancia is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.73. The margin-adjusted share is about 51.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.25 and under 2.5 is 1.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.