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Padova vs Ascoli Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie BSat, 12 Sept 2026

Padova

LLWWD

Sat, 12 Sept 202614:00

1 : 0

Full time

Ascoli

Pre-match win probability

42.3%Padova28.6%Draw29.1%Ascoli

Our prediction

Padova

Padova is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.2
Confidence42.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Padova 42.3%
  • Draw 28.6%
  • Ascoli 29.1%

Season statistics

Serie B · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

PadovaAscoli
Goals scored (avg)
1–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.2–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Padova3W 2D 4L in last 9
  • 31 OctCatanzaro1 – 1PadovaD
  • 27 OctPadova2 – 0SudtirolW
  • 24 OctAvellino0 – 1PadovaW
  • 17 OctPadova1 – 2Virtus EntellaL
  • 11 OctPadova0 – 2CarrareseL
  • 19 SeptPalermo2 – 1PadovaL
  • 6 SeptCremonese3 – 1PadovaL
  • 29 AugPadova1 – 1Hellas VeronaD
  • 23 AugPisa0 – 1PadovaW
Ascoli0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headPadova 1W · 0D · Ascoli 1W · 4 goals a game
    • 2 AprPadova1 – 2Ascoli
    • 10 NovAscoli2 – 3Padova

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
    1.5 goals18.2% · 1.36.9% · 3.4
    2.5 goals11.5% · 2.0513.5% · 1.75
    3.5 goals6.7% · 3.518.5% · 1.28

    Both teams to score

    Yes52%
    No48%

    Double chance

    1X55.7%
    X244.3%

    Match result

    Padova2.2
    Draw3.25
    Ascoli3.2

    Both teams to score

    Yes52% · 1.8
    No48% · 1.95

    1X

    Chance55.7%
    Odds1.33

    X2

    Chance44.3%
    Odds1.67

    Padova

    Chance42.3%
    Odds2.2

    Draw

    Chance28.6%
    Odds3.25

    Ascoli

    Chance29.1%
    Odds3.2

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Padova at 2.2

    PadovaAscoli
    Recent form92%8%
    Attack50%50%
    Defence64%36%
    Goals model50%50%
    Head-to-head50%50%
    Overall59%41%

    Trends

    Trend · Serie B

    Padova scored 1 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Serie B

    Padova conceded 1.2 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Serie B

    Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

    Trend · Serie B

    Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

    Padova vs Ascoli: prediction & preview

    Italy · Serie B · Sat, 12 Sept 2026

    Padova meet Ascoli in the Italy, Serie B on 12 September 2026 at 14:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Padova at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Padova vs Ascoli FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is the Padova vs Ascoli match?

    Kickoff is 14:00 on 12 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    What are the safest picks for Padova vs Ascoli?

    Padova is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.3%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.05 and under 2.5 is 1.75.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.