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Padova vs Carrarese Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie BSun, 11 Oct 2026

Padova

7th in table · 14 pts

LLWWD

Sun, 11 Oct 202616:15

0 : 2

Full time

Carrarese

14th in table · 10 pts

LLLDL

Pre-match win probability

51.8%Padova26.6%Draw21.5%Carrarese

Our prediction

1 · Padova

Padova vs Carrarese listed tip from the board.

Odds1.8
Confidence51.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Padova 51.8%
  • Draw 26.6%
  • Carrarese 21.5%

Season statistics

Serie B · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

PadovaCarrarese
Goals scored (avg)
1.1–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1–
Wins
43
Played
109

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Padova4W 2D 3L in last 9
  • 31 OctCatanzaro1 – 1PadovaD
  • 27 OctPadova2 – 0SudtirolW
  • 24 OctAvellino0 – 1PadovaW
  • 17 OctPadova1 – 2Virtus EntellaL
  • 19 SeptPalermo2 – 1PadovaL
  • 12 SeptPadova1 – 0AscoliW
  • 6 SeptCremonese3 – 1PadovaL
  • 29 AugPadova1 – 1Hellas VeronaD
  • 23 AugPisa0 – 1PadovaW
Carrarese0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.6% · 1.052.2% · 11
    1.5 goals18.9% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
    2.5 goals12.8% · 1.8512.1% · 1.95
    3.5 goals7.3% · 3.2517.8% · 1.33

    Both teams to score

    Yes52%
    No48%

    Double chance

    1X60%
    X240%

    Match result

    Padova1.8
    Draw3.5
    Carrarese4.33

    Both teams to score

    Yes52% · 1.8
    No48% · 1.95

    1X

    Chance60%
    Odds1.22

    X2

    Chance40%
    Odds1.83

    Padova

    Chance51.8%
    Odds1.8

    Draw

    Chance26.6%
    Odds3.5

    Carrarese

    Chance21.5%
    Odds4.33

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: 1 at 1.8

    PadovaCarrarese
    Recent form93%7%
    Attack52%48%
    Defence67%33%
    Goals model52%48%
    Overall71%29%

    Trends

    Trend · Serie B

    Padova scored 1.1 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Serie B

    Padova conceded 1 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Serie B

    Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 9.

    Trend · Serie B

    Over 2.5 goals in 3 of those 9.

    Padova vs Carrarese: prediction & preview

    Italy · Serie B · Sun, 11 Oct 2026

    Padova meet Carrarese in the Italy, Serie B on 11 October 2026 at 16:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–2.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Padova at 1.8. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 51.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Padova vs Carrarese FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is the Padova vs Carrarese match?

    Kickoff is 16:15 on 11 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    What are the safest picks for Padova vs Carrarese?

    Padova is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.8. The margin-adjusted share is about 51.8%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.85 and under 2.5 is 1.95.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.