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Palmeiras vs Fluminense Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · CONMEBOL LibertadoresThu, 22 Oct 2026

Palmeiras

WWWWD

Thu, 22 Oct 202601:30

0 : 1

Full time

Fluminense

LLLLW

Pre-match win probability

57.3%Palmeiras26.3%Draw16.4%Fluminense

Our prediction

1 · Palmeiras

Palmeiras vs Fluminense listed tip from the board.

Odds1.65
Confidence57.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Palmeiras 57.3%
  • Draw 26.3%
  • Fluminense 16.4%

Season statistics

CONMEBOL Libertadores · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

PalmeirasFluminense
Goals scored (avg)
1.71.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.61.6

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Palmeiras6W 2D 1L in last 9
  • 28 OctSantos0 – 0PalmeirasD
  • 24 OctPalmeiras2 – 0RB BragantinoW
  • 17 OctAtletico Paranaense0 – 2PalmeirasW
  • 15 OctFluminense1 – 2PalmeirasW
  • 11 OctPalmeiras4 – 1CorinthiansW
  • 9 OctPalmeiras1 – 0BahiaW
  • 20 SeptGremio0 – 0PalmeirasD
  • 16 SeptLDU de Quito3 – 2PalmeirasL
  • 12 SeptPalmeiras2 – 0Sao PauloW
Fluminense3W 0D 6L in last 9
  • 28 OctFluminense2 – 1InternacionalW
  • 24 OctChapecoense-sc2 – 1FluminenseL
  • 18 OctFluminense1 – 2SantosL
  • 15 OctFluminense1 – 2PalmeirasL
  • 11 OctFlamengo1 – 0FluminenseL
  • 9 OctFluminense4 – 0CoritibaW
  • 20 SeptCorinthians1 – 3FluminenseW
  • 15 SeptPlatense2 – 1FluminenseL
  • 12 SeptAtletico-MG3 – 1FluminenseL
H2H
Head to headPalmeiras 4W · 1D · Fluminense 4W · 2.2 goals a game
  • 15 OctFluminense1 – 2Palmeiras
  • 15 AugFluminense3 – 2Palmeiras
  • 26 FebPalmeiras2 – 1Fluminense
  • 23 NovPalmeiras0 – 0Fluminense
  • 23 JulFluminense1 – 2Palmeiras
  • 8 DecPalmeiras0 – 1Fluminense
  • 25 JulFluminense1 – 0Palmeiras
  • 3 DecPalmeiras1 – 0Fluminense
  • 6 AugFluminense2 – 1Palmeiras

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.8% · 1.082.9% · 8
1.5 goals16.8% · 1.48.5% · 2.75
2.5 goals10% · 2.3515% · 1.57
3.5 goals5.4% · 4.3319.6% · 1.2

Both teams to score

Yes42.4%
No57.6%

Double chance

1X65.9%
X234.1%

Match result

Palmeiras1.65
Draw3.6
Fluminense5.75

Both teams to score

Yes42.4% · 2.2
No57.6% · 1.62

1X

Chance65.9%
Odds1.14

X2

Chance34.1%
Odds2.2

Palmeiras

Chance57.3%
Odds1.65

Draw

Chance26.3%
Odds3.6

Fluminense

Chance16.4%
Odds5.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1 at 1.65

PalmeirasFluminense
Recent form69%31%
Attack52%48%
Defence63%37%
Goals model52%48%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall78%22%

Trends

Trend · CONMEBOL Libertadores

Palmeiras scored 1.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · CONMEBOL Libertadores

Palmeiras conceded 0.6 per game in the last 9.

Trend · CONMEBOL Libertadores

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · CONMEBOL Libertadores

Kept a clean sheet in 6 of those 9.

Palmeiras vs Fluminense: prediction & preview

World · CONMEBOL Libertadores · Thu, 22 Oct 2026

Palmeiras meet Fluminense in the World, CONMEBOL Libertadores on 22 October 2026 at 01:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Palmeiras at 1.65. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 57.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Palmeiras vs Fluminense FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Palmeiras vs Fluminense match?

Kickoff is 01:30 on 22 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Palmeiras vs Fluminense?

Palmeiras is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.65. The margin-adjusted share is about 57.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.35 and under 2.5 is 1.57.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.