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Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie ASat, 12 Sept 2026

Palmeiras

WWLWD

Sat, 12 Sept 202622:30

2 : 0

Full time

Sao Paulo

LWWDL

Pre-match win probability

57.5%Palmeiras25.3%Draw17.2%Sao Paulo

Our prediction

1X · Palmeiras

Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo listed tip from the board.

Odds1.14
Confidence57.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Palmeiras 57.5%
  • Draw 25.3%
  • Sao Paulo 17.2%

Season statistics

Serie A · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

PalmeirasSao Paulo
Goals scored (avg)
1.41
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.71.2

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Palmeiras5W 2D 2L in last 9
  • 28 OctSantos0 – 0PalmeirasD
  • 24 OctPalmeiras2 – 0RB BragantinoW
  • 22 OctPalmeiras0 – 1FluminenseL
  • 17 OctAtletico Paranaense0 – 2PalmeirasW
  • 15 OctFluminense1 – 2PalmeirasW
  • 11 OctPalmeiras4 – 1CorinthiansW
  • 9 OctPalmeiras1 – 0BahiaW
  • 20 SeptGremio0 – 0PalmeirasD
  • 16 SeptLDU de Quito3 – 2PalmeirasL
Sao Paulo3W 2D 4L in last 9
  • 29 OctBahia3 – 2Sao PauloL
  • 24 OctMirassol1 – 1Sao PauloD
  • 18 OctSao Paulo1 – 0Vasco DA GamaW
  • 11 OctSao Paulo2 – 1VitoriaW
  • 8 OctCruzeiro2 – 0Sao PauloL
  • 3 OctSao Paulo1 – 2SantosL
  • 20 SeptSao Paulo1 – 0InternacionalW
  • 16 SeptSao Paulo1 – 1Boca JuniorsD
  • 9 SeptBoca Juniors1 – 0Sao PauloL
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.9% · 1.337% · 3.4
2.5 goals11.6% · 2.0513.6% · 1.75
3.5 goals6.4% · 3.7518.6% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes46.7%
No53.3%

Double chance

1X65.9%
X234.1%

Match result

Palmeiras1.65
Draw3.75
Sao Paulo5.5

Both teams to score

Yes46.7% · 2
No53.3% · 1.75

1X

Chance65.9%
Odds1.14

X2

Chance34.1%
Odds2.2

Palmeiras

Chance57.5%
Odds1.65

Draw

Chance25.3%
Odds3.75

Sao Paulo

Chance17.2%
Odds5.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.14

PalmeirasSao Paulo
Recent form61%39%
Attack58%42%
Defence56%44%
Goals model58%42%
Overall77%23%

Trends

Trend · Serie A

Palmeiras scored 1.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie A

Palmeiras conceded 0.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie A

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · Serie A

Kept a clean sheet in 5 of those 9.

Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Sat, 12 Sept 2026

Palmeiras meet Sao Paulo in the Brazil, Serie A on 12 September 2026 at 22:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Palmeiras at 1.65. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 57.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo match?

Kickoff is 22:30 on 12 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo?

Palmeiras is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.65. The margin-adjusted share is about 57.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.05 and under 2.5 is 1.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.