Get Premium

Parma vs Genoa Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie ASun, 20 Sept 2026

Parma

18th in table · 5 pts

LLLLD

Sun, 20 Sept 202614:00

2 : 1

Full time

Genoa

13th in table · 10 pts

LWLWW

Pre-match win probability

29.6%Parma32.6%Draw37.8%Genoa

Our prediction

1X · Parma

Parma vs Genoa listed tip from the board.

Odds1.5
Confidence37.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Parma 29.6%
  • Draw 32.6%
  • Genoa 37.8%

Season statistics

Serie A · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

ParmaGenoa
Goals scored (avg)
0.31
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.81.3
Wins
13
Played
99

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Parma0W 2D 7L in last 9
  • 28 OctParma0 – 0UdineseD
  • 24 OctLazio2 – 1ParmaL
  • 19 OctParma0 – 3TorinoL
  • 10 OctInter3 – 0ParmaL
  • 14 SeptComo2 – 1ParmaL
  • 6 SeptParma1 – 1MonzaD
  • 1 SeptParma0 – 2CremoneseL
  • 29 AugJuventus2 – 0ParmaL
  • 22 AugParma0 – 1CagliariL
Genoa4W 1D 3L in last 8
  • 28 OctGenoa2 – 0JuventusW
  • 25 OctGenoa1 – 0VeneziaW
  • 17 OctAS Roma2 – 0GenoaL
  • 10 OctGenoa2 – 1FiorentinaW
  • 2 OctRapid2 – 0GenoaL
  • 15 SeptGenoa1 – 0SudtirolW
  • 12 SeptGenoa1 – 1FrosinoneD
  • 4 SeptGenoa1 – 4ComoL
H2H
Head to headParma 3W · 3D · Genoa 3W · 2.3 goals a game
  • 18 JanParma0 – 0Genoa
  • 19 OctGenoa0 – 0Parma
  • 12 JanGenoa1 – 0Parma
  • 4 NovParma0 – 1Genoa
  • 5 FebParma2 – 0Genoa
  • 3 SeptGenoa3 – 3Parma
  • 19 MarParma1 – 2Genoa
  • 30 NovGenoa1 – 2Parma
  • 23 JunGenoa1 – 4Parma

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.5% · 1.13.4% · 7
1.5 goals16.5% · 1.448.6% · 2.75
2.5 goals9.5% · 2.515.5% · 1.53
3.5 goals5.3% · 4.519.8% · 1.2

Both teams to score

Yes46.7%
No53.3%

Double chance

1X47.6%
X252.4%

Match result

Parma3.2
Draw2.9
Genoa2.5

Both teams to score

Yes46.7% · 2
No53.3% · 1.75

1X

Chance47.6%
Odds1.5

X2

Chance52.4%
Odds1.36

Parma

Chance29.6%
Odds3.2

Draw

Chance32.6%
Odds2.9

Genoa

Chance37.8%
Odds2.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.5

ParmaGenoa
Recent form13%87%
Attack23%77%
Defence41%59%
Goals model23%77%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall44%56%

Trends

Trend · Serie A

Parma scored 0.3 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie A

Parma conceded 1.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie A

Failed to score in 6 of those 9.

Trend · Serie A

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

Parma vs Genoa: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie A · Sun, 20 Sept 2026

Parma meet Genoa in the Italy, Serie A on 20 September 2026 at 14:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Genoa at 2.5. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.53, about 62% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Parma vs Genoa FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Parma vs Genoa match?

Kickoff is 14:00 on 20 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Parma vs Genoa?

Genoa is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.5. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.5 and under 2.5 is 1.53.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.