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Paysandu vs Ferroviária Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie CSat, 3 Oct 2026

Paysandu

7th in table · 29 pts

LLDLD

Sat, 3 Oct 202623:30

1 : 0

Live

Ferroviária

3rd in table · 30 pts

WDWDL

Pre-match win probability

42.5%Paysandu28.8%Draw28.8%Ferroviária

Our prediction

Paysandu

Paysandu is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.1
Confidence42.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Paysandu 42.5%
  • Draw 28.8%
  • Ferroviária 28.8%

Season statistics

Serie C · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

PaysanduFerroviária
Goals scored (avg)
0.81.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.61.1
Wins
98
Played
1919

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Paysandu2W 2D 5L in last 9
  • 11 OctBrusque1 – 1PaysanduD
  • 26 SeptInter De Limeira2 – 0PaysanduL
  • 20 SeptPaysandu2 – 2Inter De LimeiraD
  • 13 SeptFerroviária1 – 0PaysanduL
  • 7 SeptPaysandu1 – 2BrusqueL
  • 29 AugPaysandu0 – 1MaringáL
  • 22 AugItuano0 – 1PaysanduW
  • 18 AugFerroviária4 – 0PaysanduL
  • 11 AugPaysandu2 – 1ConfiançaW
Ferroviária4W 3D 2L in last 9
  • 24 OctFerroviária1 – 2MaringáL
  • 17 OctMaringá1 – 1FerroviáriaD
  • 11 OctFerroviária2 – 0Inter De LimeiraW
  • 27 SeptBrusque1 – 1FerroviáriaD
  • 20 SeptFerroviária3 – 2BrusqueW
  • 13 SeptFerroviária1 – 0PaysanduW
  • 5 SeptInter De Limeira3 – 3FerroviáriaD
  • 29 AugFerroviária1 – 0ConfiançaW
  • 23 AugYpiranga-RS1 – 0FerroviáriaL
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.042.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.7% · 1.337.2% · 3.25
2.5 goals11.5% · 2.0513.4% · 1.75
3.5 goals6.7% · 3.518.3% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X55.6%
X244.4%

Match result

Paysandu2.1
Draw3.1
Ferroviária3.1

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance55.6%
Odds1.28

X2

Chance44.4%
Odds1.6

Paysandu

Chance42.5%
Odds2.1

Draw

Chance28.8%
Odds3.1

Ferroviária

Chance28.8%
Odds3.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Paysandu at 2.1

PaysanduFerroviária
Recent form35%65%
Attack36%64%
Defence42%58%
Goals model36%64%
Overall60%40%

Trends

Trend · Serie C

Paysandu scored 0.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie C

Paysandu conceded 1.6 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie C

Failed to score in 4 of those 9.

Trend · Serie C

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

Paysandu vs Ferroviária: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie C · Sat, 3 Oct 2026

Paysandu meet Ferroviária in the Brazil, Serie C on 3 October 2026 at 23:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Paysandu at 2.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Paysandu vs Ferroviária FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Paysandu vs Ferroviária match?

Kickoff is 23:30 on 3 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Paysandu vs Ferroviária?

Paysandu is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.05 and under 2.5 is 1.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.