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Penafiel vs Portimonense Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Segunda LigaSat, 8 Aug 2026

Penafiel

4th in table · 16 pts

WDLLW

Sat, 8 Aug 202614:00

0 : 1

Full time

Portimonense

11th in table · 11 pts

WWWLD

Pre-match win probability

48.9%Penafiel26.6%Draw24.5%Portimonense

Our prediction

X2 · Penafiel

Penafiel vs Portimonense listed tip from the board.

Odds1.8
Confidence48.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Penafiel 48.9%
  • Draw 26.6%
  • Portimonense 24.5%

Season statistics

Segunda Liga · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

PenafielPortimonense
Goals scored (avg)
2.20.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.11.1
Wins
53
Played
89

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Penafiel6W 2D 2L in last 10
  • 24 OctFarense1 – 4PenafielW
  • 17 OctPenafiel0 – 1LeçaL
  • 9 OctPenafiel1 – 2AVSL
  • 25 SeptPenafiel2 – 2Deportivo La CorunaD
  • 19 SeptOliveirense1 – 2PenafielW
  • 12 SeptFelgueiras 19321 – 2PenafielW
  • 5 SeptPenafiel4 – 1AcademicaW
  • 30 AugFC Porto B0 – 3PenafielW
  • 23 AugPenafiel2 – 0Sporting CP BW
  • 15 AugTorreense2 – 2PenafielD
Portimonense4W 2D 4L in last 10
  • 31 OctPortimonense0 – 0TorreenseD
  • 24 OctSporting CP B3 – 0PortimonenseL
  • 17 OctFlorgrade1 – 2PortimonenseW
  • 10 OctAmarante1 – 2PortimonenseW
  • 19 SeptCastro Daire0 – 1PortimonenseW
  • 12 SeptPortimonense0 – 2TondelaL
  • 6 SeptUnião de Leiria1 – 0PortimonenseL
  • 29 AugPortimonense0 – 2LeixoesL
  • 21 AugBenfica B1 – 1PortimonenseD
  • 16 AugPortimonense2 – 0VizelaW
H2H
Head to headPenafiel 2W · 1D · Portimonense 4W · 3.1 goals a game
  • 17 JanPenafiel0 – 2Portimonense
  • 9 AugPortimonense2 – 1Penafiel
  • 21 FebPenafiel3 – 0Portimonense
  • 28 SeptPortimonense0 – 2Penafiel
  • 19 NovPenafiel0 – 3Portimonense
  • 21 JanPenafiel2 – 2Portimonense
  • 14 AugPortimonense3 – 2Penafiel

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals18.2% · 1.37% · 3.4
2.5 goals11.8% · 213.1% · 1.8
3.5 goals6.8% · 3.518.5% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X59%
X241%

Match result

Penafiel1.85
Draw3.4
Portimonense3.7

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance59%
Odds1.25

X2

Chance41%
Odds1.8

Penafiel

Chance48.9%
Odds1.85

Draw

Chance26.6%
Odds3.4

Portimonense

Chance24.5%
Odds3.7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 1.8

PenafielPortimonense
Recent form59%41%
Attack73%27%
Defence50%50%
Goals model73%27%
Head-to-head36%64%
Overall67%33%

Trends

Trend · Segunda Liga

Penafiel scored 2.2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Segunda Liga

Penafiel conceded 1.1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Segunda Liga

Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

Trend · Segunda Liga

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

Penafiel vs Portimonense: prediction & preview

Portugal · Segunda Liga · Sat, 8 Aug 2026

Penafiel meet Portimonense in the Portugal, Segunda Liga on 8 August 2026 at 14:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Penafiel at 1.85. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 48.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Penafiel vs Portimonense FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Penafiel vs Portimonense match?

Kickoff is 14:00 on 8 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Penafiel vs Portimonense?

Penafiel is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.85. The margin-adjusted share is about 48.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.