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Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Philadelphia Union

6th in table · 47 pts

WDLDL

Sun, 27 Sept 202600:30

4 : 2

Full time

Orlando City SC

9th in table · 43 pts

DWDDL

Pre-match win probability

64.8%Philadelphia Union18.8%Draw16.4%Orlando City SC

Our prediction

Philadelphia Union

Philadelphia Union is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.45
Confidence64.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Philadelphia Union 64.8%
  • Draw 18.8%
  • Orlando City SC 16.4%

Season statistics

Major League Soccer · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Philadelphia UnionOrlando City SC
Goals scored (avg)
2.42.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.12.2
Wins
1312
Played
3333

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Philadelphia Union5W 2D 2L in last 9
  • 31 OctFC Cincinnati1 – 0Philadelphia UnionL
  • 29 OctNashville SC0 – 0Philadelphia UnionD
  • 25 OctPhiladelphia Union1 – 2New England RevolutionL
  • 17 OctPhiladelphia Union2 – 2CharlotteD
  • 15 OctChicago Fire1 – 3Philadelphia UnionW
  • 11 OctPhiladelphia Union2 – 1Real Salt LakeW
  • 20 SeptSporting Kansas City3 – 4Philadelphia UnionW
  • 14 SeptSan Diego0 – 5Philadelphia UnionW
  • 10 SeptPhiladelphia Union5 – 0FC CincinnatiW
Orlando City SC3W 3D 3L in last 9
  • 31 OctCharlotte4 – 0Orlando City SCL
  • 29 OctChicago Fire2 – 2Orlando City SCD
  • 25 OctOrlando City SC2 – 2New York City FCD
  • 18 OctOrlando City SC4 – 1DC UnitedW
  • 15 OctToronto FC3 – 3Orlando City SCD
  • 11 OctOrlando City SC3 – 2Columbus CrewW
  • 20 SeptNew England Revolution4 – 2Orlando City SCL
  • 17 SeptColumbus Crew2 – 1Orlando City SCL
  • 13 SeptOrlando City SC3 – 0Toronto FCW
H2H
Head to headPhiladelphia Union 3W · 2D · Orlando City SC 4W · 3.9 goals a game
  • 14 MayOrlando City SC4 – 3Philadelphia Union
  • 6 AprPhiladelphia Union0 – 0Orlando City SC
  • 23 FebOrlando City SC2 – 4Philadelphia Union
  • 3 OctOrlando City SC2 – 1Philadelphia Union
  • 12 MayPhiladelphia Union2 – 3Orlando City SC
  • 22 JunOrlando City SC2 – 2Philadelphia Union
  • 26 MarPhiladelphia Union1 – 2Orlando City SC
  • 11 SeptPhiladelphia Union5 – 1Orlando City SC
  • 24 JulOrlando City SC0 – 1Philadelphia Union

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.5% · 1.010.9% · 26
1.5 goals22.2% · 1.072.6% · 9
2.5 goals18.6% · 1.286.6% · 3.6
3.5 goals14.2% · 1.6711.3% · 2.1

Both teams to score

Yes66.3%
No33.7%

Double chance

1X69.7%
X230.3%

Match result

Philadelphia Union1.45
Draw5
Orlando City SC5.75

Both teams to score

Yes66.3% · 1.4
No33.7% · 2.75

1X

Chance69.7%
Odds1.14

X2

Chance30.3%
Odds2.62

Philadelphia Union

Chance64.8%
Odds1.45

Draw

Chance18.8%
Odds5

Orlando City SC

Chance16.4%
Odds5.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Philadelphia Union at 1.45

Philadelphia UnionOrlando City SC
Recent form59%41%
Attack52%48%
Defence70%30%
Goals model52%48%
Head-to-head44%56%
Overall80%20%

Trends

Trend · Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union scored 2.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union conceded 1.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Major League Soccer

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Major League Soccer

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC: prediction & preview

USA · Major League Soccer · Sun, 27 Sept 2026

Philadelphia Union meet Orlando City SC in the USA, Major League Soccer on 27 September 2026 at 00:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Philadelphia Union at 1.45. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 64.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.28, about 73.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.4.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC match?

Kickoff is 00:30 on 27 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC?

Philadelphia Union is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.45. The margin-adjusted share is about 64.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.28 and under 2.5 is 3.6.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.4. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.