Get Premium

Phoenix Rising vs Lexington Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

USA · USL ChampionshipSun, 25 Oct 2026

Phoenix Rising

8th in table · 40 pts

LLLWW

Sun, 25 Oct 202603:00

3 : 3

Full time

Lexington

4th in table · 48 pts

WWWDW

Pre-match win probability

43%Phoenix Rising24.1%Draw32.9%Lexington

Our prediction

2 · Phoenix Rising

Phoenix Rising vs Lexington listed tip from the board.

Odds2.75
Confidence43%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Phoenix Rising 43%
  • Draw 24.1%
  • Lexington 32.9%

Season statistics

USL Championship · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Phoenix RisingLexington
Goals scored (avg)
1.72.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.81.4
Wins
1014
Played
3030

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Phoenix Rising4W 2D 3L in last 9
  • 18 OctOrange County SC1 – 3Phoenix RisingW
  • 11 OctPhoenix Rising3 – 2Las Vegas LightsW
  • 4 OctNew Mexico United2 – 1Phoenix RisingL
  • 27 SeptOakland Roots3 – 0Phoenix RisingL
  • 20 SeptPhoenix Rising1 – 3El Paso LocomotiveL
  • 13 SeptPhoenix Rising2 – 1FC TulsaW
  • 6 SeptMonterey Bay1 – 1Phoenix RisingD
  • 30 AugPhoenix Rising2 – 1Indy ElevenW
  • 23 AugSacramento Republic2 – 2Phoenix RisingD
Lexington5W 1D 3L in last 9
  • 18 OctLas Vegas Lights3 – 5LexingtonW
  • 10 OctLexington0 – 0FC TulsaD
  • 4 OctLexington3 – 1El Paso LocomotiveW
  • 27 SeptMonterey Bay2 – 3LexingtonW
  • 20 SeptLexington6 – 0Orange County SCW
  • 13 SeptOakland Roots1 – 4LexingtonW
  • 6 SeptSporting JAX3 – 2LexingtonL
  • 30 AugLexington0 – 1Colorado SpringsL
  • 27 AugNew Mexico United2 – 1LexingtonL
H2H
Head to headPhoenix Rising 0W · 0D · Lexington 3W · 1.3 goals a game
  • 9 AugLexington1 – 0Phoenix Rising
  • 9 AugLexington2 – 0Phoenix Rising
  • 5 JulPhoenix Rising0 – 1Lexington

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.8% · 1.032.3% · 10
1.5 goals19.5% · 1.25.4% · 4.33
2.5 goals14.5% · 1.6210.4% · 2.25
3.5 goals9.4% · 2.515.6% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes58.9%
No41.1%

Double chance

1X54.1%
X245.9%

Match result

Phoenix Rising2.1
Draw3.75
Lexington2.75

Both teams to score

Yes58.9% · 1.57
No41.1% · 2.25

1X

Chance54.1%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance45.9%
Odds1.6

Phoenix Rising

Chance43%
Odds2.1

Draw

Chance24.1%
Odds3.75

Lexington

Chance32.9%
Odds2.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 2 at 2.75

Phoenix RisingLexington
Recent form47%53%
Attack39%61%
Defence43%57%
Goals model39%61%
Head-to-head0%100%
Overall57%43%

Trends

Trend · USL Championship

Phoenix Rising scored 1.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · USL Championship

Phoenix Rising conceded 1.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · USL Championship

Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

Trend · USL Championship

Over 2.5 goals in 8 of those 9.

Phoenix Rising vs Lexington: prediction & preview

USA · USL Championship · Sun, 25 Oct 2026

Phoenix Rising meet Lexington in the USA, USL Championship on 25 October 2026 at 03:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Phoenix Rising at 2.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Phoenix Rising vs Lexington FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Phoenix Rising vs Lexington match?

Kickoff is 03:00 on 25 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Phoenix Rising vs Lexington?

Phoenix Rising is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 43%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.62 and under 2.5 is 2.25.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.