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Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Nieciecza Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Poland · I LigaFri, 28 Aug 2026

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

LWLLL

Fri, 28 Aug 202617:15

2 : 2

Full time

Nieciecza

DWLWD

Pre-match win probability

37.4%Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki27%Draw35.6%Nieciecza

Our prediction

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.38
Confidence37.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 37.4%
  • Draw 27%
  • Nieciecza 35.6%

Season statistics

I Liga · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiNieciecza
Goals scored (avg)
1.32
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.91.1

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki3W 0D 6L in last 9
  • 30 OctPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki0 – 1Stal MielecL
  • 25 OctRuch Chorzów2 – 0Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiL
  • 17 OctPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki0 – 1Polonia WarszawaL
  • 10 OctChrobry Głogów0 – 4Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiW
  • 2 OctRadomiak Radom7 – 2Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiL
  • 19 SeptPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki2 – 0ŁKS ŁódźW
  • 13 SeptUnia Skierniewice3 – 2Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiL
  • 4 SeptPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki1 – 0Warta PoznańW
  • 1 SeptPodhale Nowy Targ3 – 1Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiL
Nieciecza7W 2D 1L in last 10
  • 31 OctMiedz Legnica1 – 1NiecieczaD
  • 27 OctOlimpia Grudziądz0 – 1NiecieczaW
  • 24 OctArka Gdynia3 – 1NiecieczaL
  • 19 OctNieciecza2 – 0Puszcza NiepołomiceW
  • 10 OctUnia Skierniewice2 – 2NiecieczaD
  • 3 OctCracovia Krakow2 – 3NiecieczaW
  • 19 SeptNieciecza1 – 0Odra OpoleW
  • 14 SeptStal Mielec1 – 2NiecieczaW
  • 4 SeptNieciecza2 – 1Lechia GdanskW
  • 1 SeptWigry Suwałki1 – 5NiecieczaW
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals20.3% · 1.174.7% · 5
2.5 goals14.8% · 1.610.3% · 2.3
3.5 goals9.5% · 2.515.8% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes60.9%
No39.1%

Double chance

1X48.5%
X251.5%

Match result

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki2.38
Draw3.3
Nieciecza2.5

Both teams to score

Yes60.9% · 1.53
No39.1% · 2.38

1X

Chance48.5%
Odds1.53

X2

Chance51.5%
Odds1.44

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Chance37.4%
Odds2.38

Draw

Chance27%
Odds3.3

Nieciecza

Chance35.6%
Odds2.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki at 2.38

Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiNieciecza
Recent form28%72%
Attack39%61%
Defence37%63%
Goals model39%61%
Overall51%49%

Trends

Trend · I Liga

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki scored 1.3 per game in the last 9.

Trend · I Liga

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki conceded 1.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · I Liga

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · I Liga

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Nieciecza: prediction & preview

Poland · I Liga · Fri, 28 Aug 2026

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki meet Nieciecza in the Poland, I Liga on 28 August 2026 at 17:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki at 2.38. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.6, about 59% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.53.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Nieciecza FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Nieciecza match?

Kickoff is 17:15 on 28 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Nieciecza?

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.38. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.6 and under 2.5 is 2.3.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.53. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.