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Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Warta Poznań Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Poland · I LigaFri, 4 Sept 2026

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

2nd in table · 21 pts

LWLLL

Fri, 4 Sept 202617:00

1 : 0

Full time

Warta Poznań

8th in table · 19 pts

WLWLD

Pre-match win probability

35%Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki27%Draw38%Warta Poznań

Our prediction

Warta Poznań

Warta Poznań is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.35
Confidence38%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 35%
  • Draw 27%
  • Warta Poznań 38%

Season statistics

I Liga · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań
Goals scored (avg)
1.41.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
2.11
Wins
66
Played
1313

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki2W 1D 6L in last 9
  • 30 OctPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki0 – 1Stal MielecL
  • 25 OctRuch Chorzów2 – 0Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiL
  • 17 OctPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki0 – 1Polonia WarszawaL
  • 10 OctChrobry Głogów0 – 4Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiW
  • 2 OctRadomiak Radom7 – 2Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiL
  • 19 SeptPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki2 – 0ŁKS ŁódźW
  • 13 SeptUnia Skierniewice3 – 2Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiL
  • 1 SeptPodhale Nowy Targ3 – 1Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiL
  • 28 AugPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki2 – 2NiecieczaD
Warta Poznań5W 1D 3L in last 9
  • 31 OctPodbeskidzie1 – 1Warta PoznańD
  • 26 OctWarta Poznań0 – 1ŁKS ŁódźL
  • 16 OctWarta Poznań1 – 0Unia SkierniewiceW
  • 11 OctStal Mielec2 – 1Warta PoznańL
  • 3 OctChrobry Głogów1 – 3Warta PoznańW
  • 18 SeptWarta Poznań3 – 2Puszcza NiepołomiceW
  • 12 SeptWarta Poznań3 – 0Arka GdyniaW
  • 30 AugMiedz Legnica2 – 1Warta PoznańL
  • 21 AugChrobry Głogów0 – 1Warta PoznańW
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals19.6% · 1.25.4% · 4.33
2.5 goals14.1% · 1.6711% · 2.15
3.5 goals9% · 2.6216.4% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes60.9%
No39.1%

Double chance

1X48.5%
X251.5%

Match result

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki2.55
Draw3.3
Warta Poznań2.35

Both teams to score

Yes60.9% · 1.53
No39.1% · 2.38

1X

Chance48.5%
Odds1.53

X2

Chance51.5%
Odds1.44

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Chance35%
Odds2.55

Draw

Chance27%
Odds3.3

Warta Poznań

Chance38%
Odds2.35

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Warta Poznań at 2.35

Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań
Recent form30%70%
Attack47%53%
Defence31%69%
Goals model47%53%
Overall48%52%

Trends

Trend · I Liga

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki scored 1.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · I Liga

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki conceded 2.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · I Liga

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · I Liga

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Warta Poznań: prediction & preview

Poland · I Liga · Fri, 4 Sept 2026

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki meet Warta Poznań in the Poland, I Liga on 4 September 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Warta Poznań at 2.35. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 38% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.53.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Warta Poznań FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Warta Poznań match?

Kickoff is 17:00 on 4 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Warta Poznań?

Warta Poznań is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.35. The margin-adjusted share is about 38%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.67 and under 2.5 is 2.15.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.53. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Warta Poznań prediction, H2H and stats