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Pogoń Siedlce vs Polonia Warszawa Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Poland · I LigaSat, 15 Aug 2026

Pogoń Siedlce

13th in table · 15 pts

LLLWL

Sat, 15 Aug 202614:30

1 : 0

Full time

Polonia Warszawa

4th in table · 21 pts

WWWDW

Pre-match win probability

22.9%Pogoń Siedlce24.8%Draw52.3%Polonia Warszawa

Our prediction

Polonia Warszawa

Polonia Warszawa is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.75
Confidence52.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Pogoń Siedlce 22.9%
  • Draw 24.8%
  • Polonia Warszawa 52.3%

Season statistics

I Liga · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Pogoń SiedlcePolonia Warszawa
Goals scored (avg)
1.41.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.61.2
Wins
46
Played
1212

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Pogoń Siedlce4W 1D 5L in last 10
  • 28 OctTychy 714 – 2Pogoń SiedlceL
  • 25 OctOdra Opole0 – 1Pogoń SiedlceW
  • 18 OctPogoń Siedlce3 – 4Stal RzeszówL
  • 15 OctPogoń Siedlce1 – 3Puszcza NiepołomiceL
  • 9 OctPodbeskidzie1 – 0Pogoń SiedlceL
  • 20 SeptPogoń Siedlce2 – 1Arka GdyniaW
  • 12 SeptChrobry Głogów0 – 0Pogoń SiedlceD
  • 1 SeptKluczevia Stargard2 – 3Pogoń SiedlceW
  • 29 AugPogoń Siedlce2 – 0Stal MielecW
  • 21 AugLechia Gdansk1 – 0Pogoń SiedlceL
Polonia Warszawa6W 2D 2L in last 10
  • 29 OctPolonia Warszawa2 – 1Korona KielceW
  • 23 OctPolonia Warszawa1 – 1Miedz LegnicaD
  • 17 OctPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki0 – 1Polonia WarszawaW
  • 10 OctArka Gdynia1 – 2Polonia WarszawaW
  • 3 OctJagiellonia1 – 2Polonia WarszawaW
  • 19 SeptPolonia Warszawa2 – 0Chrobry GłogówW
  • 11 SeptPolonia Warszawa2 – 2Polonia BytomD
  • 5 SeptStal Rzeszów2 – 1Polonia WarszawaL
  • 2 SeptGórnik Polkowice0 – 1Polonia WarszawaW
  • 29 AugPolonia Warszawa2 – 4Lechia GdanskL
H2H
Head to headPogoń Siedlce 3W · 1D · Polonia Warszawa 3W · 2.7 goals a game
  • 29 NovPolonia Warszawa2 – 0Pogoń Siedlce
  • 20 JulPogoń Siedlce1 – 1Polonia Warszawa
  • 9 AprPolonia Warszawa2 – 1Pogoń Siedlce
  • 22 SeptPogoń Siedlce2 – 4Polonia Warszawa
  • 27 JanPolonia Warszawa0 – 2Pogoń Siedlce
  • 13 NovPolonia Warszawa0 – 1Pogoń Siedlce
  • 23 JulPogoń Siedlce2 – 1Polonia Warszawa

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.3% · 1.225.9% · 4
2.5 goals13.6% · 1.7311.3% · 2.08
3.5 goals8.6% · 2.7516.8% · 1.4

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X37.9%
X262.1%

Match result

Pogoń Siedlce4
Draw3.7
Polonia Warszawa1.75

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance37.9%
Odds2

X2

Chance62.1%
Odds1.22

Pogoń Siedlce

Chance22.9%
Odds4

Draw

Chance24.8%
Odds3.7

Polonia Warszawa

Chance52.3%
Odds1.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Polonia Warszawa at 1.75

Pogoń SiedlcePolonia Warszawa
Recent form39%61%
Attack47%53%
Defence44%56%
Goals model47%53%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall30%70%

Trends

Trend · I Liga

Pogoń Siedlce scored 1.4 per game in the last 10.

Trend · I Liga

Pogoń Siedlce conceded 1.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · I Liga

Failed to score in 3 of those 10.

Trend · I Liga

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

Pogoń Siedlce vs Polonia Warszawa: prediction & preview

Poland · I Liga · Sat, 15 Aug 2026

Pogoń Siedlce meet Polonia Warszawa in the Poland, I Liga on 15 August 2026 at 14:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Polonia Warszawa at 1.75. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 52.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.73, about 54.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Pogoń Siedlce vs Polonia Warszawa FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Pogoń Siedlce vs Polonia Warszawa match?

Kickoff is 14:30 on 15 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Pogoń Siedlce vs Polonia Warszawa?

Polonia Warszawa is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.75. The margin-adjusted share is about 52.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.73 and under 2.5 is 2.08.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.