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Ponferradina vs Barakaldo Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1Sat, 24 Oct 2026

Ponferradina

9th in table · 14 pts

WLDDD

Sat, 24 Oct 202617:45

0 : 0

Full time

Barakaldo

15th in table · 11 pts

DDLWD

Pre-match win probability

42.6%Ponferradina31.1%Draw26.3%Barakaldo

Our prediction

1X · Ponferradina

Ponferradina vs Barakaldo listed tip from the board.

Odds1.25
Confidence42.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Ponferradina 42.6%
  • Draw 31.1%
  • Barakaldo 26.3%

Season statistics

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

PonferradinaBarakaldo
Goals scored (avg)
0.70.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.81.1
Wins
32
Played
1010

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Ponferradina2W 5D 2L in last 9
  • 31 OctRacing Ferrol0 – 0PonferradinaD
  • 27 OctLlanera1 – 1PonferradinaD
  • 17 OctZamora1 – 1PonferradinaD
  • 11 OctPonferradina0 – 2Real AvilésL
  • 4 OctPonferradina1 – 0MirandesW
  • 27 SeptPontevedra1 – 1PonferradinaD
  • 19 SeptPonferradina1 – 0Mérida ADW
  • 13 SeptDeportivo La Coruña II2 – 1PonferradinaL
  • 4 SeptPonferradina0 – 0LugoD
Barakaldo2W 4D 3L in last 9
  • 1 NovBarakaldo0 – 0PontevedraD
  • 17 OctBarakaldo2 – 0MirandesW
  • 10 OctUD Ourense1 – 0BarakaldoL
  • 3 OctBarakaldo1 – 1Arenas GetxoD
  • 27 SeptBarakaldo3 – 3Real AvilésD
  • 19 SeptRacing Ferrol1 – 0BarakaldoL
  • 11 SeptBarakaldo1 – 0Extremadura 1924W
  • 5 SeptCD Coria4 – 1BarakaldoL
  • 30 AugBarakaldo0 – 0Cultural LeonesaD
H2H
Head to headPonferradina 2W · 1D · Barakaldo 1W · 0.8 goals a game
  • 19 AprPonferradina1 – 0Barakaldo
  • 9 NovBarakaldo0 – 0Ponferradina
  • 7 FebPonferradina0 – 1Barakaldo
  • 17 NovBarakaldo0 – 1Ponferradina

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals20.8% · 1.124.2% · 5.5
1.5 goals14.4% · 1.6210.6% · 2.2
2.5 goals8.5% · 2.7516.6% · 1.4
3.5 goals4.2% · 5.520.8% · 1.12

Both teams to score

Yes41.1%
No58.9%

Double chance

1X56.1%
X243.9%

Match result

Ponferradina2.1
Draw2.88
Barakaldo3.4

Both teams to score

Yes41.1% · 2.25
No58.9% · 1.57

1X

Chance56.1%
Odds1.25

X2

Chance43.9%
Odds1.6

Ponferradina

Chance42.6%
Odds2.1

Draw

Chance31.1%
Odds2.88

Barakaldo

Chance26.3%
Odds3.4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.25

PonferradinaBarakaldo
Recent form52%48%
Attack44%56%
Defence54%46%
Goals model44%56%
Head-to-head63%37%
Overall62%38%

Trends

Trend · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Ponferradina scored 0.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Ponferradina conceded 0.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 9.

Ponferradina vs Barakaldo: prediction & preview

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Sat, 24 Oct 2026

Ponferradina meet Barakaldo in the Spain, Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on 24 October 2026 at 17:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Ponferradina at 2.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.4, about 66.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Ponferradina vs Barakaldo FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Ponferradina vs Barakaldo match?

Kickoff is 17:45 on 24 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Ponferradina vs Barakaldo?

Ponferradina is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.75 and under 2.5 is 1.4.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.25. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.