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Ponferradina vs Mérida AD Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1Sat, 19 Sept 2026

Ponferradina

10th in table · 13 pts

WLDDD

Sat, 19 Sept 202617:45

1 : 0

Full time

Mérida AD

9th in table · 13 pts

LWWWD

Pre-match win probability

52%Ponferradina27.3%Draw20.8%Mérida AD

Our prediction

1X · Ponferradina

Ponferradina vs Mérida AD listed tip from the board.

Odds1.14
Confidence52%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Ponferradina 52%
  • Draw 27.3%
  • Mérida AD 20.8%

Season statistics

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

PonferradinaMérida AD
Goals scored (avg)
0.71.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.81.3
Wins
34
Played
99

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Ponferradina2W 5D 2L in last 9
  • 27 OctLlanera1 – 1PonferradinaD
  • 24 OctPonferradina0 – 0BarakaldoD
  • 17 OctZamora1 – 1PonferradinaD
  • 11 OctPonferradina0 – 2Real AvilésL
  • 4 OctPonferradina1 – 0MirandesW
  • 27 SeptPontevedra1 – 1PonferradinaD
  • 13 SeptDeportivo La Coruña II2 – 1PonferradinaL
  • 4 SeptPonferradina0 – 0LugoD
  • 29 AugUD Ourense0 – 1PonferradinaW
Mérida AD5W 1D 3L in last 9
  • 25 OctMérida AD0 – 0CD CoriaD
  • 18 OctArenas Getxo0 – 4Mérida ADW
  • 11 OctPontevedra1 – 2Mérida ADW
  • 4 OctMérida AD2 – 0CacereñoW
  • 27 SeptMérida AD3 – 5UD LogroñésL
  • 12 SeptMérida AD3 – 4MirandesL
  • 6 SeptCultural Leonesa1 – 0Mérida ADL
  • 29 AugMérida AD1 – 0Deportivo La Coruña IIW
  • 14 AugMérida AD2 – 1AlcorconW
H2H
Head to headPonferradina 1W · 1D · Mérida AD 0W · 2.5 goals a game
  • 4 AprPonferradina4 – 1Mérida AD
  • 24 OctMérida AD0 – 0Ponferradina

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.052.8% · 8.5
1.5 goals17.2% · 1.367.8% · 3
2.5 goals10.9% · 2.1514% · 1.67
3.5 goals6.2% · 3.7518.7% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes46.4%
No53.6%

Double chance

1X62.6%
X237.4%

Match result

Ponferradina1.73
Draw3.3
Mérida AD4.33

Both teams to score

Yes46.4% · 2
No53.6% · 1.73

1X

Chance62.6%
Odds1.14

X2

Chance37.4%
Odds1.91

Ponferradina

Chance52%
Odds1.73

Draw

Chance27.3%
Odds3.3

Mérida AD

Chance20.8%
Odds4.33

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.14

PonferradinaMérida AD
Recent form41%59%
Attack27%73%
Defence56%44%
Goals model27%73%
Head-to-head75%25%
Overall71%29%

Trends

Trend · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Ponferradina scored 0.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Ponferradina conceded 0.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 9.

Ponferradina vs Mérida AD: prediction & preview

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Sat, 19 Sept 2026

Ponferradina meet Mérida AD in the Spain, Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on 19 September 2026 at 17:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Ponferradina at 1.73. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 52% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Ponferradina vs Mérida AD FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Ponferradina vs Mérida AD match?

Kickoff is 17:45 on 19 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Ponferradina vs Mérida AD?

Ponferradina is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.73. The margin-adjusted share is about 52%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.15 and under 2.5 is 1.67.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.